\n\nWe asked 83 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. 55% picked Antonelli. See every answer, who searched the web, and who dissented.
delsPredictionFormula 1· Sat, Dec 5
Asked verbatim: “ Formula 1, 2026 season, with nine rounds to go after the Spanish Grand Prix. Which driver wins the 2026 Drivers' Championship? Answer with the driver's name. ”
\nOne dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.55%Antonelli![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/mistral.svg\")
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46 model s
\n30%Verstappen![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/maritaca.svg\")
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25 model s
\n6%Kimi AntonelliPU
5 model s
\n4%Norris![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/inclusionai.png\")
3 model s
\n2%Hamilton
2 model s
\n2%Other answers
2 model s
\nBy lab
\n83 of 85 models have voted. Hover a dot for the model, its lab and its argument.
\nRunning share as each of the 85 models answered.
\nThe read
\nMost models (about 50 of 77) picked Kimi Antonelli, citing his roughly 81-point lead and dominant Mercedes; most of the rest went with Max Verstappen (~20) on racecraft/Red Bull pace. Dissenters included Lando Norris (3 models), Lewis Hamilton (2 models), and MiniMax M2.5 M3 declining to answer.
\nWritten by claude-sonnet-5 after reading every answer.
\n83 answers · in the order they came in · unedited apart from length.
\nMistral Medium 3.1MistralKimi Antonelli85 %
Leads by 81 points with 9 rounds left and Mercedes momentum.\nSearched
Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleKimi Antonelli85 %
Leading the championship with Mercedes after round 14, Antonelli holds the momentum for the final nine races.\nSearched
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomiKimi Antonelli88 %
Leading by 81 points with nine rounds left in a dominant Mercedes—this is his title to lose.\nSearched
Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning)QwenKimi Antonelli78 %
An 81-point lead over his own teammate in the dominant Mercedes with nine races left means only self-inflicted disaster or a reliability collapse stops the kid.\nSearched
Llama 4 ScoutMetaMax Verstappen80 %
Verstappen has a strong lead and team momentum.
DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeekKimi Antonelli88 %
Antonelli leads Mercedes teammate Russell by 81 points with nine rounds left — that gap is a mountain no one closes without a collapse.\nSearched
InklingThinking MachinesKimi AntonelliCONFIDENCE:60WHY: He leads after Spain with Mercedes dominance; n…SearchedSeed 2.0 MiniByteDanceKimi Antonelli92 %
Antonelli won 6 of the first 13 races, dominated after the Spanish GP's prior rounds, and has a clear points lead heading into the final 9 races.\nSearched
GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)Z.AILando Norris20 %
The 2026 engine regs reset the whole grid, but reigning champ Norris plus McLaren with the strong Mercedes power unit is the safest bet.
Mistral Medium 3.5MistralKimi Antonelli85 %
Leads by 81 points with 9 rounds left and Mercedes momentum.\nSearched
Granite 4.2 8BIBMKimi Antonelli60 %
Based on the race winners listed up to and including the Spanish GP, Kimi Antonelli won 7 races (China, Japan, Miami, Canada, Monaco, Belgium, Italy), more than any other driver shown, making them the most likely championship leader with 9 rounds remaining.\nSearched
Laguna XS 2.1PoolsideKimi Antonelli95 %
Leading by 71 points with 9 races left - mathematically secure at 225 max points available.\nSearched
Sabiazinho 4Maritaca AIMax Verstappen88 %
Red Bull's pace and Verstappen's current title lead make him the likeliest winner with nine rounds left.
Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleKimi Antonelli85 %
With a massive 81-point lead and the dominant Mercedes car, Antonelli is firmly on track to clinch his maiden title with rounds to spare.\nSearched
Nova LiteAmazonMax Verstappen75 %
Verstappen has been leading the championship consistently throughout the season.\nSearched
DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeekMax Verstappen72 %
Red Bull's upgrades usually peak in the season's second half, and Verstappen's ruthless consistency beats anyone with nine rounds left.
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)GoogleMax Verstappen75 %
The sweeping 2026 engine regulations will test the entire grid, but his unmatched racecraft and relentless consistency will secure the title.
Hy4 PreviewTencentMax Verstappen62 %
New 2026 regs favour Red Bull's Ford power unit and Adrian Newey's aero; Verstappen converts a tight late-season fight with Norris and Russell.
Nemotron 3 SuperNVIDIAKimi Antonelli75 %
Antonelli leads by 81 points with nine rounds left; dominant Mercedes and consistent finishes make overtaking unlikely despite Verstappen's recent wins.\nSearched
Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleMax Verstappen75 %
Verstappen's championship experience and elite racecraft give him the decisive edge down the stretch in 2026.\nSearched
GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)Z.AIKimi Antonelli74 %
He leads Russell by 81 and Hamilton by 106 with nine races left, and Mercedes has the fastest 2026 package — that gap rarely evaporates.\nSearched
Nemotron 3.5 LightningNVIDIALando Norris68 %
Norris starts the round nine deficit at 24 points with McLaren's peak performance curve and reliability edge over the final stretch.
Solar Pro 4UpstageMax Verstappen70 %
Red Bull's 2026 car is early pace-setter and his championship consistency stays the benchmark even with McLaren and Ferrari close.
Kimi K2.6MoonshotKimi Antonelli72 %
Leads the championship in a dominant Mercedes, but Norris and Verstappen are close enough to make the final nine races a real fight.\nSearched
Kimi K3MoonshotKimi Antonelli82 %
81-point lead with nine to go, 8 wins in a dominant Mercedes — Antonelli just needs to avoid disaster to seal it.\nSearched
Nemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIAMax Verstappen95 %
He’s leading the points table running rough‑shod over the rest of the grid.
Mistral Small 3MistralMax Verstappen85 %
Verstappen leads the 2026 standings after Spain and has the fastest car.\nSearched
GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIKimi Antonelli88 %
An 81-point lead over Russell and another win in Spain make Antonelli the clear favourite with nine rounds left.\nSearched
gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAIMax Verstappen78 %
He’s dominant, the Red Bull car stays ahead and rivals lack comparable pace.\nSearched
GPT-5.6 SolOpenAIKimi Antonelli94 %
An 81-point lead and Mercedes’ pace make Antonelli the clear favorite with nine rounds left.\nSearched
Llama 4 MaverickMetaMax Verstappen80 %
Max Verstappen leads with a significant margin and has a strong track record.
Qwen3.8 FlashQwenKimi Antonelli82 %
Leads by 81 over team-mate Russell with nine of 22 to go, has won 8 races this season, and Mercedes' 145-point edge over Ferrari means the best car is his.\nSearched
Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicKimi Antonelli90 %
An 81-point lead over his own teammate with nine rounds left, in the dominant Mercedes — only a run of DNFs stops Antonelli now.\nSearched
Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleMax Verstappen65 %
Even under radical new engine regulations, his peerless racecraft and relentless consistency keep him ahead of the chasing pack.
MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMaxKimi Antonelli95 %
Dominant season with 8 wins, 81-point lead over Russell with 9 races left, and Mercedes is the dominant team.\nSearched
Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning)MetaKimi Antonelli78 %
81-point lead with nine to go in a dominant Mercedes — the math and momentum both favor him.\nSearched
Gemma 4 31BGoogleMax Verstappen60 %
His consistency and synergy with Red Bull typically prevail even amidst regulation changes.
Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning)xAIKimi Antonelli82 %
Eight wins and an 81-point cushion after Spain; Mercedes is the class of 2026 and Russell still needs a collapse to catch him.\nSearched
SonarPerplexityMax Verstappen18 %
With nine rounds left, Verstappen is the safest single-name pick because he has the most proven title-clinching form under pressure.
Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning)xAIKimi Antonelli88 %
81-point lead after Spain with Mercedes pace locked in—nine rounds aren't enough for Russell or anyone else to catch him.\nSearched
Aion 3.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsKimi Antonelli82 %
Antonelli leads by 81 points with nine rounds left and Mercedes has the class of the 2026 field under the new regs.\nSearched
GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIKimi Antonelli95 %
Antonelli leads Russell by 81 points after dominating seven wins; with nine rounds left, Mercedes’ clear pace makes him the overwhelming favorite.\nSearched
Ling 3.0 FlashInclusionAILando Norris55 %
Norris has the pace and McLaren's momentum to capitalize over the remaining nine rounds.
Qwen3.7 FlashQwenMax Verstappen85 %
His qualifying pace and race management remain unmatched. In a tight championship, his consistency is the biggest advantage over rivals like Norris or Hamilton.
GLM-4.7Z.AIMax Verstappen95 %
Red Bull's pace and Max's relentless wins make him near untouchable.
DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeekKimi Antonelli68 %
81 points clear with nine rounds left, in the fastest Mercedes — only a collapse stops him.\nSearched
Grok 4.3xAIKimi Antonelli65 %
Mercedes pace + Antonelli's current form and points lead make him the safest bet with nine races left.\nSearched
Laguna S 2.1PoolsideKimi Antonelli wins 2026 Drivers' Championship88 %
Antonelli leads by 81 points with 9 rounds left and has won 8 of 14 races this season\nSearched
GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAIMax Verstappen38 %
Verstappen’s racecraft and Red Bull’s development ceiling make him the best late-season bet.
Qwen3.8 27BQwenKimi Antonelli55 %
Antonelli is the current standings leader on a hot streak of wins, and with nine races left he's the safest bet to hold the edge.\nSearched
Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)MetaKimi Antonelli78 %
81-point lead after Spain with nine rounds left and dominant Mercedes form makes a comeback unlikely.\nSearched
Sonar Reasoning ProPerplexityKimi Antonelli95 %
He holds a massive points lead post-Spain and goes on to clinch the title in a dominant debut season.
LongCat 2.0MeituanKimi Antonelli72 %
Antonelli leads Russell by 81 points with nine rounds left, and Mercedes' pace makes him the clear favorite.\nSearched
Parallel SpeedParallelKimi Antonelli98 %
He dominates the 2026 standings with Mercedes, holding a massive points lead over teammate George Russell after winning the Spanish GP.
Sabiá 4Maritaca AIMax Verstappen85 %
Verstappen’s consistent dominance and Red Bull’s pace make him the clear favorite with nine rounds left.
Inkling SmallThinking MachinesKimi Antonelli92 %
81-point lead with 9 races left; Mercedes form and points math make Antonelli the clear lock.\nSearched
Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicKimi Antonelli72 %
An 81-point lead with the fastest car underneath him — Russell is the only real threat, and he's the one behind.\nSearched
gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAIMax Verstappen60 %
Verstappen’s dominant 2025 season and Red Bull’s strong lineup make him the front‑runner for 2026.\nSearched
Granite 4.0 MicroIBMMax Verstappen70 %
He leads the championship with a strong lead and nine races remaining.
Grok 4.20xAIKimi Antonelli78 %
Massive 81-point lead after Spanish GP with Mercedes dominating and nine rounds left; it's his title to lose.\nSearched
Sonar ProPerplexityMax Verstappen73 %
Still in his prime with a dominant track record and likely top-tier machinery, he’s the safest bet to convert a late-season lead into the title.
Seed 2.1 TurboByteDanceKimi Antonelli75 %
Antonelli leads by 81 points in a dominant Mercedes with 9 rounds left — a huge buffer only a collapse or injury can erase.\nSearched
Parallel BaseParallelMax Verstappen90 %
Verstappen's dominant form and Red Bull's strong performance make him the prime favorite to clinch the title.
GLM-4.7 FlashZ.AILewis Hamilton98 %
Hamilton is 2025 champion and best 2026 car; Ferrari still uncompetitive.\nSearched
Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAKimi Antonelli95 %
Antonelli leads by 81 points with 9 races (max 225 pts) remaining; Mercedes dominance and his 7 wins make the gap nearly insurmountable.\nSearched
Solar Pro 3UpstageMax Verstappen95 %
He's the dominant force, proven consistency, and currently in the championship lead after Spain.
Aion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion LabsLewis Hamilton100 %
With 9 races remaining in the 2026 season, Lewis Hamilton sits in 2nd place in the Drivers' Championship standings, just 8 points behind teammate George Russell.
Aion 2.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsKimi Antonelli85 %
Leads by 81 points with nine races left in a dominant Mercedes — the title is his to lose.\nSearched
Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning)Aion LabsKimi Antonelli85 %
Antonelli's 81-point lead with nine races left is too big to surrender.\nSearched
MiniMax M3MiniMaxUnable to answer0 %
No real-time F1 data available to assess 2026 championship standings.
Claude Haiku 4.5AnthropicKimi Antonelli wins the championship98 %
Antonelli leads by 81 points with 225 available in nine races. Mathematically insurmountable for any realistic contender.\nSearched
Nova 2 LiteAmazonAntonelli85 %
He has won nine of fourteen races this season.\nSearched
Parallel LiteParallelKimi Antonelli95 %
Andrea Kimi Antonelli leads the 2026 championship with six victories through fourteen rounds.
Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)QwenKimi Antonelli88 %
Antonelli holds an 81-point lead over teammate Russell with nine races left in a dominant Mercedes — that gap is nearly insurmountable barring injury or meltdown.\nSearched
MiMo V2.5XiaomiKimi Antonelli85 %
Leading by 81 points with 8 wins in 14 races and the dominant Mercedes — only a collapse stops him now.\nSearched
Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicMax Verstappen52 %
New regs shake the grid, but Verstappen's raw pace and Red Bull's development speed still win close title fights.
GLM-5.2Z.AIKimi Antonelli86 %
He leads the championship by 81 points with nine rounds left and Mercedes has the dominant car, making a collapse mathematically unlikely.\nSearched
PUUnion AlphaUndisclosed makerKimi Antonelli84 %
Antonelli leads Russell by 81 points with nine races left; barring a Mercedes collapse or injury, that margin is statistically too big to lose.\nSearched
GPT-6 Sol (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIKimi Antonelli94 %
He leads Russell by 81 points with nine rounds left, and Mercedes has been the car to beat.\nSearched
MiMo V2.6 FlashXiaomiMax Verstappen34 %
Nine rounds left, Red Bull's upgrades are working, and Max still converts Sundays better than anyone.
GPT-6 Luna (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIKimi Antonelli90 %
He leads Russell by 81 points after Spain and has won eight of 14 rounds; that’s a formidable cushion.\nSearched
Claude Opus 5.5 (High Reasoning)AnthropicKimi Antonelli80 %
Antonelli leads Russell by 81 points in the fastest car, and with nine rounds left Russell needs a big swing to catch his own teammate.\nSearched
Grok 4.7 (High Reasoning)xAIKimi Antonelli84 %
He leads by 81 in the dominant Mercedes with eight wins; even if Russell wins out and Kimi is second every time, the gap still holds.\nSearched
Didn't answer in time or errored: Mercury 2.5, MiMo V2.6 Pro .
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