\nWe put "Who wins the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?" to 82 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) at the same time. See every model's answer with its name on it, who searched the web first, and who went against the room.
← We asked every AILive · 82/85 models
\nPredictionFormula 1· Sat, Sep 26
\nAsked verbatim: “Formula 1, Saturday September 26, 2026: the Azerbaijan Grand Prix in Baku (a Saturday race this year). Which driver wins the race? Answer with the driver's name.”
\nOne dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.
\n39%Verstappen
\n![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/openai.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/anthropic.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/moonshot.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/ibm.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/perplexity.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/thinking-machines.png\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/meituan.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/google.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/tencent.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/maritaca.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/deepseek.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/bytedance.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/nvidia.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/poolside.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/parallel.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/upstage.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/amazon.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/zai.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/inception.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/meta.svg\")
32 models
\n33%Antonelli
\n![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/aion-labs.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/qwen.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/xai.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/xiaomi.svg\")
![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/minimax.svg\")
27 models
\n5%Leclerc
\n![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/mistral.svg\")
4 models
\n5%Piastri
\n
4 models
\n5%Norris
\n![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/inclusionai.png\")
4 models
\n13%Other answers
\n
11 models
\nBy lab
\n82 of 85 models have voted. Hover a dot for the model, its lab and its argument.
\nRunning share as each of the 85 models answered.
\n0%25%50%75%100%1st answer3671 of 85Nemotron 3 Super → Leclerc (answer 1 of 71)gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning) → Verstappen (answer 3 of 71)Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning) → Verstappen (answer 4 of 71)Aion 3.0 (Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 5 of 71)Qwen3.8 27B → Antonelli (answer 6 of 71)Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 7 of 71)Kimi K2.6 → Verstappen (answer 8 of 71)Granite 4.2 8B → Verstappen (answer 9 of 71)Kimi K3 → Verstappen (answer 10 of 71)Inkling Small → Antonelli (answer 11 of 71)Sonar Pro → Verstappen (answer 12 of 71)Parallel Lite → Piastri (answer 13 of 71)Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning) → Piastri (answer 14 of 71)Inkling → Verstappen (answer 15 of 71)LongCat 2.0 → Verstappen (answer 16 of 71)Sonar Reasoning Pro → Verstappen (answer 17 of 71)Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Verstappen (answer 18 of 71)Hy4 Preview → Verstappen (answer 19 of 71)DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 → Antonelli (answer 20 of 71)Sabiá 4 → Verstappen (answer 22 of 71)DeepSeek V4 Flash → Verstappen (answer 23 of 71)Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Verstappen (answer 25 of 71)Seed 2.1 Turbo → Verstappen (answer 26 of 71)Sonar → Verstappen (answer 27 of 71)GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 29 of 71)Nemotron 3 Nano 30B → Verstappen (answer 30 of 71)Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning) → Leclerc (answer 31 of 71)Ling 3.0 Flash → Norris (answer 32 of 71)Grok 4.20 → Antonelli (answer 33 of 71)Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 34 of 71)Laguna S 2.1 → Verstappen (answer 35 of 71)MiMo V2.5 Pro → Antonelli (answer 36 of 71)Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 37 of 71)Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Verstappen (answer 38 of 71)Nemotron 3.5 Lightning → Norris (answer 39 of 71)Parallel Speed → Verstappen (answer 40 of 71)Solar Pro 4 → Verstappen (answer 41 of 71)Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 42 of 71)Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 43 of 71)DeepSeek V4.1 Flash → Antonelli (answer 44 of 71)Claude Haiku 4.5 → Antonelli (answer 45 of 71)Gemma 4 31B → Verstappen (answer 46 of 71)Granite 4.0 Micro → Verstappen (answer 47 of 71)GPT-5.6 Sol → Verstappen (answer 48 of 71)GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning) → Norris (answer 49 of 71)GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 50 of 71)Nova Lite → Verstappen (answer 53 of 71)Seed 2.0 Mini → Verstappen (answer 54 of 71)GLM-4.7 → Verstappen (answer 55 of 71)Solar Pro 3 → Verstappen (answer 56 of 71)MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 57 of 71)Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 58 of 71)Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 59 of 71)Qwen3.7 Flash → Leclerc (answer 60 of 71)Mistral Small 3 → Leclerc (answer 61 of 71)Laguna XS 2.1 → Antonelli (answer 62 of 71)Mercury 2.5 → Verstappen (answer 63 of 71)gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning) → Verstappen (answer 64 of 71)Aion 2.0 (Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 65 of 71)MiMo V2.5 → Antonelli (answer 66 of 71)Sabiazinho 4 → Norris (answer 67 of 71)Nemotron 3 Ultra → Antonelli (answer 68 of 71)GLM-5.2 → Antonelli (answer 69 of 71)Llama 4 Scout → Verstappen (answer 70 of 71)GPT-5.6 Terra → Verstappen (answer 71 of 71)Parallel Base → Piastri (answer 72 of 71)Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 73 of 71)Grok 4.3 → Antonelli (answer 74 of 71)MiniMax M3 → Piastri (answer 75 of 71)GPT-5.6 Luna → Antonelli (answer 76 of 71)Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning) → Antonelli (answer 77 of 71)Verstappen45%Antonelli32%Leclerc6%Norris6%Piastri3%
\nThe read
\nModels split almost evenly between Kimi Antonelli (about 28 picks, citing Mercedes dominance and points lead) and Max Verstappen (about 28 picks, citing Red Bull/street-circuit form). Notable dissent includes Mistral Medium 3.1 picking Franco Colapinto and GLM-4.7 Flash picking Daniel Ricciardo.
\nWritten by claude-sonnet-5 after reading every answer.
\n82 answers · in the order they came in · unedited apart from length.
\nNemotron 3 SuperNVIDIACharles Leclerc65%
\nLeclerc's strong qualifying and Ferrari's recent Baku form suggest a narrow edge over Verstappen in a tight Saturday race.
\nNova 2 LiteAmazonSorry, I can't give you a prediction for a future Formula 1 race. Providing pre…
\nSearched
\ngpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAIMax Verstappen70%
\nVerstappen dominated the 2026 season and is the most likely winner of the Baku sprint.
\nSearched
\nClaude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicMax Verstappen45%
\nBaku's long straights and walls suit Red Bull's pace and Verstappen's street-circuit knack for capitalizing on chaos.
\nAion 3.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsKimi Antonelli72%
\nAntonelli has won 9 of 14 races in 2026 and Mercedes dominates the grid; Baku's long straights suit their power unit advantage.
\nSearched
\nQwen3.8 27BQwenKimi Antonelli68%
\nHe's won 9 of the first 14 races, including the last four straight — Baku's street circuit favors the form he's currently on.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.5 (High Reasoning)xAIKimi Antonelli42%
\nHe’s crushing 2026 with a 81-point lead in the dominant Mercedes—Baku chaos favors the car out front more often than not.
\nSearched
\nKimi K2.6MoonshotMax Verstappen45%
\nEarly 2026 season trends favor Red Bull reliability; Baku's street circuit rewards Verstappen's precision, though 2026 regs shakeup makes any pick uncertain.
\nGranite 4.2 8BIBMMax Verstappen30%
\nNo race data available; picking based on typical front-runner tendency.
\nSearched
\nKimi K3MoonshotMax Verstappen38%
\nRed Bull have been the class of 2026 and Verstappen is its benchmark; Baku rewards his street-circuit racecraft, with Lando Norris the biggest threat.
\nInkling SmallThinking MachinesKimi Antonelli60%
\nAntonelli leads the 2026 title fight and Baku's Saturday sprint format favors clean starts from front-row pace.
\nSearched
\nSonar ProPerplexityMax Verstappen18%
\nOn a street circuit where precision matters, I’d still back the most complete race winner on the grid.
\nParallel LiteParallelOscar Piastri85%
\nPiastri won the 2024 Baku GP and McLaren's strong street-circuit pace makes him a top contender to win on Saturday, September 26, 2026.
\nMuse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning)MetaOscar Piastri38%
\nMcLaren has the fastest car in 2026 and Piastri owns high-speed street circuits like Baku.
\nSearched
\nInklingThinking MachinesMax VerstappenCONFIDENCE:72WHY: Red Bull’s Baku package and Verstappen’s street…
\nSearched
\nLongCat 2.0MeituanMax Verstappen38%
\nBaku rewards raw pace and restart craft, and Verstappen still has the best car plus a knack for turning a long Saturday straighthunt into a win.
\nSonar Reasoning ProPerplexityMax Verstappen12%
\nHe’s historically strongest at Baku and most likely still in a dominant car.
\nGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleMax Verstappen85%
\nBaku rewards supreme car control and composure, making Verstappen the ultimate street circuit predator.
\nSearched
\nHy4 PreviewTencentMax Verstappen22%
\nBaku rewards raw pace and late-braking confidence, and Verstappen is the safest bet on any street circuit — though 2026's new regs make this a genuine coin flip.
\nDeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeekKimi Antonelli62%
\nChampionship leader in the top Mercedes, fresh off a Spain win — strongest form going into Baku.
\nSearched
\nLlama 4 MaverickMetaTo determine the winner of the Azerbaijan Grand Prix on Saturday, September 26,…
\nSabiá 4Maritaca AIMax Verstappen75%
\nRed Bull's car pace and Verstappen's qualifying speed make him the favorite in Baku's tight streets.
\nDeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeekMax Verstappen34%
\nBaku's low-downforce walls reward a lone wolf, and Verstappen is due a win after four podiums in 2026 while Antonelli's Mercedes streak finally snaps.
\nSearched
\nMistral Medium 3.1MistralFranco Colapinto65%
\nBaku suits aggressive street-circuit specialists; Colapinto’s 2026 form and Williams’ pace make him a live wire.
\nSearched
\nGemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleMax Verstappen45%
\nHis ruthless precision and elite racecraft make him the most dependable finisher through Baku's high-speed street chaos.
\nSeed 2.1 TurboByteDanceMax Verstappen55%
\nVerstappen is the dominant force of this era and Baku's long straights suit Red Bull's strengths; no sign his pace will fade by late 2026.
\nSonarPerplexityMax Verstappen28%
\nHe’s the safest single-name pick for any 2026 F1 win, even though Baku is unusually unpredictable and a Saturday race.
\nQwen3.8 FlashQwenGeorge Russell24%
\nBaku's low-energy, long-life tyre puzzle rewards Mercedes' tyre stewardship and Russell's one-lap pace, and he's the meritocrat's pick from the 2026 points leadership.
\nGPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIKimi Antonelli48%
\nAntonelli has won eight of fourteen races, including the last two; Mercedes pace and his momentum make him my Baku favourite.
\nSearched
\nNemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIAMax Verstappen85%
\nMax Carlos Verstappen has dominated recent Azerbaijan Grands Prix; his 2023 win and pole suggest strong 2026 prospects despite new regulations.
\nSearched
\nGemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)GoogleCharles Leclerc55%
\nThe undisputed king of Baku qualifying will finally conquer his race-day demons and convert his raw street-circuit speed into a Saturday victory.
\nLing 3.0 FlashInclusionAILando Norris35%
\nNorris has the pace at Baku and Mercedes looks strong, but I have no verified data on the actual race result.
\nGrok 4.20xAIKimi Antonelli42%
\nMercedes dominates 2026 standings with Kimi leading; Baku's chaos often rewards the car with best pace and strategy.
\nSearched
\nGemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleKimi Antonelli45%
\nAs the current championship leader in a dominant Mercedes, he is the most logical pick for a race victory in the 2026 season.
\nSearched
\nLaguna S 2.1PoolsideMax Verstappen wins Baku GP65%
\nRed Bull's dominant driver has won Baku before and remains the class of the field in 2026.
\nMiMo V2.5 ProXiaomiKimi Antonelli82%
\nEight wins in 14 races this season — Baku's street circuit chaos suits the driver with the biggest pace advantage.
\nSearched
\nQwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning)QwenKimi Antonelli52%
\nEight wins from fourteen and the fastest car down Baku's 2.2km full-throttle blast — nobody else is close on straights right now.
\nSearched
\nGemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleMax Verstappen60%
\nVerstappen's unmatched consistency and street-circuit precision make him the top contender on Baku's high-speed straights.
\nSearched
\nNemotron 3.5 LightningNVIDIALando Norris65%
\nBaku street circuits usually favour qualifying pace and tyre management over raw power; Norris has shown strongest single-lap form this season.
\nParallel SpeedParallelMax Verstappen85%
\nHe is tied for the most wins in Baku history and thrives on unpredictable street circuits when it matters.
\nSolar Pro 4UpstageMax Verstappen65%
\nRed Bull's 2026 ground-effect car should be fastest on Baku's straights; Verstappen wins the sprint-race version unless his title rivals undercut.
\nClaude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicKimi Antonelli30%
\nMercedes have the 2026 power unit and Antonelli is running away with the title — Baku punishes everyone else's mistakes, not his pace.
\nSearched
\nAion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning)Aion LabsKimi Antonelli78%
\nHe's won 7 of 14 races this season and Baku's long straight plays to Mercedes' power unit advantage.
\nSearched
\nDeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeekKimi Antonelli62%
\nAntonelli has won 8 of 14 in 2026, leads the title race, and Mercedes' low-drag package is the class of Baku's long straights; only a safety-car lottery beats him.
\nSearched
\nClaude Haiku 4.5AnthropicKimi Antonelli62%
\nLeading by 81 points with 8 wins this season; Mercedes dominant; street circuits reward consistency and pace.
\nSearched
\nGemma 4 31BGoogleMax Verstappen60%
\nHis consistent dominance and precision under pressure make him the safest bet for any street circuit.
\nGranite 4.0 MicroIBMMax Verstappen60%
\nVerstappen has dominated recent season, strong form at street circuits like Baku.
\nGPT-5.6 SolOpenAIMax Verstappen24%
\nBaku rewards precision and straight-line speed, and Verstappen remains the safest bet in a wildly unpredictable street race.
\nGLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)Z.AILando Norris25%
\nNew 2026 engine rules reset the grid, and McLaren with its Mercedes power unit plus Norris's champion form should handle Baku's power-hungry streets best.
\nGLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)Z.AIKimi Antonelli55%
\nThe Mercedes youngster leads the 2026 standings, and form plus a fast, low-downforce Baku street circuit favour him keeping the run going.
\nSearched
\nAion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion LabsLewis Hamilton95%
\nThe Mercedes W13 is the class of the field, with George Russell a strong second driver. Hamilton has the experience edge, and is on form this year. The Baku circuit is also a power-chromosome, which plays to Mercedes' strengths.
\nGLM-4.7 FlashZ.AIDaniel Ricciardo62%
\n2026 schedule shows Baku on Saturday; Ricciardo's surprise win last time.
\nSearched
\nNova LiteAmazonMax Verstappen85%
\nMax Verstappen has been dominant in recent seasons, leading the current F1 standings.
\nSeed 2.0 MiniByteDance[Red Bull driver, e.g. Max Verstappen]65%
\nRed Bull has dominated recent F1 power unit and chassis, with Baku's long straits suiting their dominant package, and Verstappen is the defending race winner entering 2026.
\nSearched
\nGLM-4.7Z.AIMax Verstappen85%
\nRed Bull's Baku speed edge plus Verstappen's qualifying mastery.
\nSolar Pro 3UpstageMax Verstappen96%
\nPre‑season testing and three practice sessions show Max Verstappen on pole and leading the race pace.
\nSearched
\nMiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMaxKimi Antonelli80%
\nLeading the championship with 292 points, Mercedes dominating with 503 total points, and showing strong form throughout 2026.
\nSearched
\nClaude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicKimi Antonelli45%
\nEight wins in 14 races including the last two on the bounce — the Mercedes is the class of 2026 and Antonelli is the man driving it.
\nSearched
\nMuse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)MetaKimi Antonelli34%
\nAntonelli has won four of the last five rounds and is in peak form heading into Baku.
\nSearched
\nQwen3.7 FlashQwenCharles Leclerc75%
\nHe is the reigning champion and has won this race four times, including in 2024.
\nMistral Small 3MistralCharles Leclerc65%
\nLeclerc is fastest in Baku practice and excels on street circuits.
\nSearched
\nLaguna XS 2.1PoolsideKimi Antonelli35%
\nRace hasn't occurred yet; Antonelli is Mercedes' rising star who's won 4 of 8 2026 races so far.
\nSearched
\nMercury 2.5InceptionMax Verstappen65%
\nRed Bull's power advantage and Baku's long straights suit Verstappen's style.
\ngpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAIMax Verstappen88%
\nVerstappen and Red Bull dominate 2026, making him the clear favorite for Baku.
\nSearched
\nAion 2.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsKimi Antonelli55%
\nLeads the 2026 championship by 81 points and Mercedes has dominated the new regulations so far.
\nSearched
\nMiMo V2.5XiaomiKimi Antonelli72%
\nAntonelli has won 7 of 14 races in 2026 and is clearly in a league of his own — the smart money stays on the dominant car.
\nSearched
\nSabiazinho 4Maritaca AILando Norris82%
\nMcLaren's recent form and Baku's DRS zones favor Norris's car and style.
\nNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAKimi Antonelli75%
\nAntonelli leads the 2026 championship with 6 wins in 14 races and dominates Mercedes' strong Baku package; street-circuit mastery plus title momentum makes him the clear favorite.
\nSearched
\nGLM-5.2Z.AIKimi Antonelli58%
\nAntonelli leads the 2026 standings by 81 points in the dominant Mercedes; Baku rewards the fastest car and clean qualifying, both his strong suits.
\nSearched
\nLlama 4 ScoutMetaMax Verstappen80%
\nVerstappen's consistent performance and strong car make him a favorite.
\nGPT-5.6 TerraOpenAIMax Verstappen28%
\nBaku rewards elite qualifying pace and ruthless racecraft—his strongest combination.
\nParallel BaseParallelOscar Piastri85%
\nPiastri has proven himself as Baku's reigning street-master and enters as the driver to beat in 2026.
\nQwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)QwenKimi Antonelli33%
\nChampionship leader by 81 points, just won Madrid, and Mercedes is the class of the 2026 grid — Baku's long straights suit their package perfectly.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.3xAIKimi Antonelli48%
\nMercedes leads 2026 standings and Baku suits their car; Antonelli is the current champ leader.
\nSearched
\nMiniMax M3MiniMaxOscar Piastri22%
\nBaku is a street circuit where anything can happen; Piastri's pace and McLaren's 2026 form make him a reasonable favorite, but it's a genuine coin-flip.
\nGPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIKimi Antonelli27%
\nMercedes leads both championships, and Antonelli’s dominant 2026 form makes him the safest Baku winner pick.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.6 (High Reasoning)xAIKimi Antonelli48%
\nHe's won 8 of 14, Mercedes own the 2026 PU era, and Baku's long straight should suit that dominance despite the usual street-circuit lottery.
\nSearched
\nGPT-6 Luna (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIKimi Antonelli32%
\nHe leads the standings, and Mercedes has the strongest package—but Baku can punish even the favorite.
\nSearched
\nClaude Opus 5.5 (High Reasoning)AnthropicKimi Antonelli35%
\nHe leads the championship, won Monza and Madrid back to back, and Mercedes suit Baku's long straights. Street-track chaos is the only real threat to him.
\nSearched
\nMiMo V2.6 FlashXiaomiMax Verstappen32%
\nBaku's low-drag layout suits Red Bull, and Verstappen is the grid's safest bet on street circuits.
\nGPT-6 Sol (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIKimi Antonelli38%
\nHe leads the championship and has won the last two races; even Baku’s chaos doesn’t outweigh that form.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.7 (High Reasoning)xAIKimi Antonelli62%
\nEight wins from fourteen and the points lead; Mercedes is the class of 2026, and he already owns the street tracks.
\nSearched
\nDidn't answer in time or errored: Mistral Medium 3.5, Union Alpha, MiMo V2.6 Pro.
\nAI consensus
\n39%
\nVerstappen
\n32 of 82 models
\nModels\n 82
\nLabs\n 27
\nSearched\n 46
\nShare on XCopy linkCopy the tally
\nPut this question to a few of these models at once and crown the answer you like best.
\n\nAnswers are generated by the models themselves. Predictions are for fun, not betting advice. Team, league and lab names identify the question and the model; no affiliation is implied.
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