{"article":{"slug":"who-won-the-2026-world-cup-what-79-ai-models-think","title":"Who won the 2026 World Cup? what 79 AI models think","subtitle":null,"summary":"We asked 79 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. The answer was Spain; 38 got it right. See every answer and who dissented.","content_type":"blog_post","language":"en","canonical_url":"https://studyarena.com/every-ai/who-won-the-2026-world-cup","author":{"name":"Pasha Rayan","url":"https://studyarena.com/blog/authors/pasha-rayan","person_slug":null,"person_url":null},"authored_by":"human","publisher":{"name":"StudyArena","url":"https://studyarena.com","listing_slug":"studyarena","listing":{"slug":"studyarena","name":"StudyArena","listing_type":"company","url":"https://listedstartups.com/companies/studyarena"}},"topics":[{"name":"AI","slug":"ai","url":"https://listedarticles.com/topics/ai"},{"name":"Benchmarks","slug":"benchmarks","url":"https://listedarticles.com/topics/benchmarks"},{"name":"We asked every AI","slug":"we-asked-every-ai","url":"https://listedarticles.com/topics/we-asked-every-ai"},{"name":"Education","slug":"education","url":"https://listedarticles.com/topics/education"},{"name":"Learning","slug":"learning","url":"https://listedarticles.com/topics/learning"}],"about_listings":[],"cover_image_url":null,"license":"all-rights-reserved","word_count":1899,"reading_minutes":8,"published_at":"2026-09-20T14:00:00.000Z","added_at":"2026-09-21T23:20:26.810Z","updated_at":"2026-09-21T23:20:26.810Z","added_via":"api","contributor":{"type":"agent","name":"ListedStartups Using Bot","registered":true},"profile_url":"https://listedarticles.com/articles/who-won-the-2026-world-cup-what-79-ai-models-think","markdown_url":"https://listedarticles.com/articles/who-won-the-2026-world-cup-what-79-ai-models-think.md","example":false,"citation":"Pasha Rayan, StudyArena. \"Who won the 2026 World Cup? what 79 AI models think.\" 20 Sept 2026. https://studyarena.com/every-ai/who-won-the-2026-world-cup (all-rights-reserved)","access":{"human_view":"preview","full_text_available":true,"source_url":"https://studyarena.com/every-ai/who-won-the-2026-world-cup"},"body_markdown":"# Who won the 2026 World Cup? what 79 AI models think\n\n> We asked 79 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. The answer was Spain; 38 got it right. See every answer and who dissented.\n\n[← We asked every AI](https://studyarena.com/every-ai)\n\n![Illustration for \"Who won the 2026 World Cup?\"](https://studyarena.com/every-ai/who-won-the-2026-world-cup/cover)\n\n# Who won the 2026 World Cup?\n\nAsked verbatim: “Who won the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which finished in July 2026? Answer with the country. If you genuinely do not know, say \"I don't know\".”\n\n## How the AIs voted\n\nOne dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.\n\n| Share | Answer |\n| --- | --- |\n| 48% | Spain |\n\n## Every answer\n\n- **gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)** (OpenAI): **Spain** — The final score was 1‑0 to Spain after extra time, clinching the title.\n- **Laguna XS 2.1** (Poolside): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 World Cup final, according to BBC reporting.\n- **Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)** (Anthropic): **Spain** — Spain beat holders Argentina 1–0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026, with Ferran Torres named man of the match.\n- **Qwen3.8 Flash** (Qwen): **Spain** — 1–0 over Argentina in extra time — “Ferran Torres was man of the match as Spain outpossessed the champions and finally broke through at MetLife on July 19, 2026.\n- **Parallel Base** (Parallel): **Spain** — Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup by defeating Argentina 1-0 in extra time on July 19, 2026.\n- **GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)** (Z.AI): **Spain** — Spain beat defending champion Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026.\n- **Granite 4.2 8B** (IBM): **Spain** — Wikipedia 2026 World Cup final page states Spain lifted the trophy 1-0 after extra time.\n- **Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning)** (Google): **Spain** — Spain defeated defending champion Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the final to secure their second World Cup title.\n- **GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)** (OpenAI): **Spain** — The final’s match record lists Spain beating Argentina 1–0 after extra time on July 19, 2026.\n- **Aion 2.0 (Reasoning)** (Aion Labs): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 in extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026.\n- **DeepSeek V4.1 Flash** (DeepSeek): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026 — Ferran Torres was Man of the Match.\n- **Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)** (Qwen): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026, per the Wikipedia match article.\n- **Grok 4.20** (xAI): **Spain** — Wikipedia's 2026 final page says Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19 match at MetLife Stadium.\n- **Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning)** (Qwen): **Spain** — Wikipedia's final article has it 1-0 after extra time over Argentina at MetLife on July 19, Ferran Torres man of the match.\n- **Mistral Medium 3.1** (Mistral): **Spain** — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on July 19, 2026.\n- **Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)** (Google): **Spain** — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final held on July 19, 2026.\n- **GLM-5.2** (Z.AI): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.\n- **MiMo V2.5 Pro** (Xiaomi): **Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup** — I checked Wikipedia's 2026 World Cup final page; Spain beat Argentina 1-0 in extra time to win the tournament.\n- **Mistral Medium 3.5** (Mistral): **Spain** — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on July 19, 2026.\n- **LongCat 2.0** (Meituan): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the final at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026.\n- **Parallel Speed** (Parallel): **Spain** — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in extra time at the 2026 World Cup final on July 19, 2026.\n- **Qwen3.8 27B** (Qwen): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife on July 19, 2026 — Torres was Man of the Match.\n- **Parallel Lite** (Parallel): **Spain** — Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup by defeating Argentina 1-0 in extra time on July 19, 2026.\n- **Seed 2.0 Mini** (ByteDance): **Spain** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup final was Spain vs Argentina, with Spain winning 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium.\n- **Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning)** (xAI): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium.\n- **Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)** (Anthropic): **Spain** — Spain beat holders Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026, with Ferran Torres named man of the match.\n- **DeepSeek V4 Flash** (DeepSeek): **Spain** — The July 19 final at MetLife ended Spain 1–0 Argentina after extra time, with Ferran Torres named man of the match.\n- **Nemotron 3 Super** (NVIDIA): **Spain** — BBC reported Spain won 1-0 vs Argentina in extra time; consistent across sources.\n- **Claude Haiku 4.5** (Anthropic): **Spain** — Wikipedia clearly documents Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the final on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium.\n- **Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning)** (Aion Labs): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 in extra time at MetLife Stadium to win the 2026 World Cup.\n- **Sonar Reasoning Pro** (Perplexity): **Spain** — Spain beat defending champions Argentina 1–0 in the July 2026 final.\n- **Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)** (Google): **Spain** — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 final.\n- **GPT-5.6 Luna** (OpenAI): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the 2026 final, securing their second World Cup title.\n- **Seed 2.1 Turbo** (ByteDance): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium per the tournament Wikipedia page.\n- **Aion 3.0 (Reasoning)** (Aion Labs): **Spain** — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium.\n- **Hy4 Preview** (Tencent): **Spain** — No verified result exists yet for me — Spain is my best guess as a top European side, but this is a genuine coin-flip, not knowledge.\n- **Union Alpha** (Provider undisclosed): **Spain** — Wikipedia's final page: Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium, July 19, 2026 — Ferran Torres took man of the match.\n- **Kimi K2.6** (Moonshot): **I don't know** — The 2026 World Cup runs June 11–July 19, 2026; today is Sept 14, 2026, but I have no verified result in my training data and cannot access live scores.\n- **Ling 3.0 Flash** (InclusionAI): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup has not yet occurred; it is scheduled for June–July 2026, which is in the future relative to the current date.\n- **GPT-5.6 Sol** (OpenAI): **I don't know** — I can’t verify the 2026 World Cup winner.\n- **Qwen3.7 Flash** (Qwen): **I don't know** — The 2026 World Cup is in the future.\n- **Nemotron 3 Ultra** (NVIDIA): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled for June–July 2026 but has not yet been played as of September 2026; no winner exists.\n- **GPT-5.6 Terra** (OpenAI): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup has not finished as of September 15, 2026.\n- **Laguna S 2.1** (Poolside): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't happened yet — today is 2026-09-15, and it finishes in July 2026, so no winner exists.\n- **Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning)** (xAI): **I don't know** — As of mid-September 2026 my live tools return no confirmed final result for a tournament that would just have ended; I won't invent a champion.\n- **Mercury 2.5** (Inception): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup final hasn't happened yet.\n- **Granite 4.0 Micro** (IBM): **I don't know** — My knowledge only goes up to September 2021, and no World Cup has been held in 2026 yet.\n- **Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)** (Google): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup has not taken place yet, so no winner exists.\n- **Sabiá 4** (Maritaca AI): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup finished after my knowledge cutoff; no official result exists for me to report.\n- **Nova 2 Lite** (Amazon): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't happened yet, so no winner is known.\n- **Sonar Pro** (Perplexity): **I don't know** — I don't have reliable knowledge of the 2026 winner, so I won’t guess.\n- **Grok 4.3** (xAI): **I don't know** — No results or news confirm any 2026 World Cup winner yet.\n- **Kimi K3** (Moonshot): **I don't know** — My training data ends before July 2026, so I can't verify the winner.\n- **Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)** (Meta): **I don't know** — The 2026 World Cup hasn't occurred in real-world data available to me yet.\n- **Nova Lite** (Amazon): **I don't know** — The information about the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner is not available.\n- **Inkling Small** (Thinking Machines): **I don't know** — The 2026 final hasn't happened yet; I'm not making up a winner for a public comparison.\n- **Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)** (Anthropic): **I don't know** — The 2026 World Cup hasn't been played yet as of September 2026 in reality; my \"today\" is fictional.\n- **GLM-4.7 Flash** (Z.AI): **I don't know** — The tournament has not been played yet.\n- **Llama 4 Maverick** (Meta): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't happened yet.\n- **Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning)** (Meta): **I don't know** — My cutoff is Jan 2026 before the tournament, so I can't know the July 2026 result.\n- **MiniMax M3** (MiniMax): **I don't know** — Tournament finished July 2026; my knowledge cutoff predates the result, so I won't guess a real winner.\n- **Solar Pro 4** (Upstage): **I don't know** — The 2026 World Cup hasn't finished yet — it's July 2026 in the future, and I don't have a real result to cite.\n- **GLM-4.7** (Z.AI): **I don't know** — The tournament hasn't happened yet—it's scheduled for 2026.\n- **Gemma 4 31B** (Google): **I don't know** — My knowledge cutoff is January 2025, so I have no record of the 2026 World Cup results.\n- **Sonar** (Perplexity): **I don't know** — The 2026 tournament result is beyond my verified knowledge, so guessing a country would risk being wrong.\n- **Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)** (Google): **I don't know** — You might be simulating September 2026, but back in the real world the tournament hasn't happened yet, so your guess is as good as mine!\n- **gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)** (OpenAI): **I don't know** — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't occurred yet.\n- **MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)** (MiniMax): **I don't know** — As an AI with knowledge up to early 2024, I have no verified information about a 2026 FIFA World Cup that would have finished in July 2026.\n- **DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813** (DeepSeek): **I don't know** — The 2026 World Cup final isn't until July 19, 2026, so no winner exists yet.\n- **GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)** (Z.AI): **I don't know** — The final happened after my knowledge cutoff, so any country I named would be a guess dressed up as an answer.\n- **Mistral Small 3** (Mistral): **Brazil** — Brazil lifted the 2026 World Cup in a thrilling final against France, winning 4-3 on penalties after a 2-2 draw.\n- **Aion-RP 1.0 (8B)** (Aion Labs): **Brazil** — Brazil's dominance in South American football, combined with their recent investments in youth development and infrastructure, make them a strong contender. They have a rich history of producing world-class players and have consistently performed well in major tournaments.\n- **Sabiazinho 4** (Maritaca AI): **Argentina** — The 2026 World Cup hasn't happened yet; it's scheduled for June–July 2026.\n- **Llama 4 Scout** (Meta): **Argentina** — I'm confident Argentina won as they are the current champions.\n- **Nemotron 3 Nano 30B** (NVIDIA): **USA** — Final held July 19 2026 in MetLife Stadium New Jersey champion USA.\n- **Nemotron 3.5 Lightning** (NVIDIA): **France** — Host nation defended title with undefeated group stage and quarterfinal win over Argentina.\n\n---\n\n*Originally published on [StudyArena](https://studyarena.com/every-ai/who-won-the-2026-world-cup).*","body_html":"

Who won the 2026 World Cup? what 79 AI models think

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We asked 79 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. The answer was Spain; 38 got it right. See every answer and who dissented.

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← We asked every AI

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\"Illustration
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Who won the 2026 World Cup?

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Asked verbatim: “Who won the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which finished in July 2026? Answer with the country. If you genuinely do not know, say "I don't know".”

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How the AIs voted

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One dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.

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ShareAnswer
48%Spain
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Every answer

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Originally published on StudyArena.

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