\nWe put "Will India win the Asian Games cricket gold?" to 80 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) at the same time. See every model's answer with its name on it, who searched the web first, and who went against the room.
← We asked every AILive · 80/85 models
\nPredictionCricket· Sun, Oct 4
\nAsked verbatim: “Men's T20 cricket at the 2026 Asian Games in Aichi-Nagoya, Japan (September 19 to October 4): India are the defending champions and play their quarter-final on September 28. Will India win the men's cricket gold medal? Yes or no.”
\nOne dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.
\n84%Yes
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PU
67 models
\n16%No
\n![\"\"](\"https://studyarena.com/provider-logos/arena/ibm.svg\")
13 models
\nBy lab
\n80 of 85 models have voted. Hover a dot for the model, its lab and its argument.
\nRunning share as each of the 85 models answered.
\n0%25%50%75%100%1st answer4080 of 85Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Yes (answer 1 of 80)Hy4 Preview → Yes (answer 2 of 80)GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning) → Yes (answer 3 of 80)Grok 4.3 → Yes (answer 4 of 80)Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → No (answer 5 of 80)Laguna S 2.1 → Yes (answer 6 of 80)Parallel Base → Yes (answer 7 of 80)Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning) → Yes (answer 8 of 80)Solar Pro 3 → Yes (answer 9 of 80)Ling 3.0 Flash → Yes (answer 10 of 80)GPT-5.6 Sol → Yes (answer 11 of 80)Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Yes (answer 12 of 80)Grok 4.20 → Yes (answer 13 of 80)Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning) → Yes (answer 14 of 80)Nova Lite → Yes (answer 15 of 80)Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Yes (answer 16 of 80)MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning) → Yes (answer 17 of 80)Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning) → Yes (answer 18 of 80)Parallel Speed → Yes (answer 19 of 80)GLM-4.7 → Yes (answer 20 of 80)Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning) → Yes (answer 21 of 80)Solar Pro 4 → Yes (answer 22 of 80)Mistral Medium 3.1 → Yes (answer 23 of 80)DeepSeek V4.1 Flash → Yes (answer 24 of 80)Seed 2.1 Turbo → Yes (answer 25 of 80)Granite 4.0 Micro → No (answer 26 of 80)MiniMax M3 → Yes (answer 27 of 80)Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning) → Yes (answer 28 of 80)Claude Haiku 4.5 → Yes (answer 29 of 80)GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning) → Yes (answer 30 of 80)DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 → Yes (answer 31 of 80)Inkling → Yes (answer 32 of 80)Kimi K2.6 → Yes (answer 33 of 80)Nemotron 3 Ultra → Yes (answer 34 of 80)Qwen3.8 Flash → Yes (answer 35 of 80)MiMo V2.5 → Yes (answer 36 of 80)GPT-5.6 Terra → Yes (answer 37 of 80)Nemotron 3 Nano 30B → No (answer 38 of 80)Sabiazinho 4 → No (answer 39 of 80)Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning) → Yes (answer 40 of 80)Gemma 4 31B → Yes (answer 41 of 80)Sabiá 4 → Yes (answer 42 of 80)gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning) → No (answer 43 of 80)Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning) → Yes (answer 44 of 80)Llama 4 Maverick → Yes (answer 45 of 80)Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning) → Yes (answer 46 of 80)Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning) → Yes (answer 47 of 80)Nova 2 Lite → Yes (answer 48 of 80)DeepSeek V4 Flash → Yes (answer 49 of 80)Aion-RP 1.0 (8B) → Yes (answer 50 of 80)Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning) → Yes (answer 51 of 80)Llama 4 Scout → Yes (answer 52 of 80)LongCat 2.0 → Yes (answer 53 of 80)Laguna XS 2.1 → No (answer 54 of 80)GLM-5.2 → No (answer 55 of 80)Kimi K3 → Yes (answer 56 of 80)Mistral Small 3 → Yes (answer 57 of 80)Sonar Reasoning Pro → No (answer 58 of 80)Sonar → Yes (answer 59 of 80)Seed 2.0 Mini → Yes (answer 60 of 80)GPT-5.6 Luna → Yes (answer 61 of 80)Granite 4.2 8B → No (answer 62 of 80)Sonar Pro → Yes (answer 63 of 80)gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning) → No (answer 64 of 80)Inkling Small → Yes (answer 65 of 80)Aion 3.0 (Reasoning) → Yes (answer 66 of 80)Aion 2.0 (Reasoning) → Yes (answer 67 of 80)GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning) → Yes (answer 68 of 80)GLM-4.7 Flash → No (answer 69 of 80)MiMo V2.5 Pro → Yes (answer 70 of 80)Mistral Medium 3.5 → No (answer 71 of 80)Parallel Lite → Yes (answer 72 of 80)Qwen3.8 27B → Yes (answer 73 of 80)Union Alpha → Yes (answer 74 of 80)Grok 4.7 (High Reasoning) → Yes (answer 75 of 80)MiMo V2.6 Flash → Yes (answer 76 of 80)GPT-6 Luna (Medium Reasoning) → Yes (answer 77 of 80)GPT-6 Sol (Medium Reasoning) → Yes (answer 78 of 80)Claude Opus 5.5 (High Reasoning) → No (answer 79 of 80)MiMo V2.6 Pro → Yes (answer 80 of 80)Yes84%No16%
\nThe read
\nMost of the 73 models (roughly 58) picked Yes, citing India's T20 depth and defending-champion status as decisive despite knockout volatility. The most interesting dissent came from Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite, which said No on the grounds that cricket isn't actually part of the Aichi-Nagoya Games program.
\nWritten by claude-sonnet-5 after reading every answer.
\n13 models went against the room.
\nGemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleSearchedNo100% sure
\nCricket is not a sport included in the 2026 Asian Games in Aichi-Nagoya, making the premise of the question factually impossible.
\nGranite 4.0 MicroIBMMemoryNo60% sure
\nIndia's quarter-final opponent is too strong; they've historically struggled against top Asian teams in T20 cricket.
\nNemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIAMemoryNo85% sure
\nOdds favor stronger teams like Pakistan or Afghanistan over India’s aging lineup for a brand‑new T20 format.
\nSabiazinho 4Maritaca AIMemoryNo60% sure
\nHeavy rotation and strong rivals like Afghanistan and Pakistan make India's path uncertain despite their title defense.
\ngpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAIMemoryNo45% sure
\nIndia's form and squad depth are strong, but the Asian Games field includes competitive teams like Pakistan and Sri Lanka, making a gold win uncertain.
\nLaguna XS 2.1PoolsideMemoryNo35% sure
\nIndia plays Pakistan-influenced QF on Sept 28; their recent T20 struggles and Japan's strong home advantage favor the host.
\nGLM-5.2Z.AIMemoryNo55% sure
\nIndia rarely sends a full-strength T20 squad to the Asian Games and a one-off quarter-final knockout format invites upsets from Pakistan or Afghanistan.
\nSonar Reasoning ProPerplexityMemoryNo60% sure
\nT20 tournaments are high-variance and with multiple strong Asian teams in the draw, the odds favour the field over any single favourite.
\nGranite 4.2 8BIBMSearchedNo30% sure
\nDefending champions do not guarantee victory; no match data available as of 16 Sep 2026.
\ngpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAIMemoryNo38% sure
\nIndia's quarter‑final opponent is in form and the tournament’s short format favors upsets, making a gold win far from certain.
\nGLM-4.7 FlashZ.AIMemoryNo70% sure
\nFewer back-to-back tournament days hurt India, and they don't have enough top T20 specialists now.
\nMistral Medium 3.5MistralSearchedNo60% sure
\nT20 is volatile, and India’s quarter-final date leaves no room for error against top Asian sides.
\nClaude Opus 5.5 (High Reasoning)AnthropicSearchedNo60% sure
\nIndia's depth makes them favourites, but a second-string squad has to win three T20 knockouts against Afghanistan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, so the odds are against gold.
\n80 answers · in the order they came in · unedited apart from length.
\nGemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleYes70%
\nIndia's unmatched T20 depth and firepower give them a decisive edge to sweep the knockout rounds and retain gold.
\nHy4 PreviewTencentYes62%
\nIndia's full-strength squad and defending-champion pedigree make them favourites, though Sri Lanka and Pakistan can beat them on a given day.
\nGPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIYes66%
\nIndia's depth makes them my gold-medal pick even without a full-strength XI, though three knockout wins are never a given in T20.
\nGrok 4.3xAIYes85%
\nIndia are the clear #1 T20 side, defending champs, and the only full-member power in a short knockout format.
\nSearched
\nGemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleNo100%
\nCricket is not a sport included in the 2026 Asian Games in Aichi-Nagoya, making the premise of the question factually impossible.
\nSearched
\nLaguna S 2.1PoolsideYes68%
\nIndia dominated Asian T20 cricket since 2018 and won gold in 2018 and 2022; their squad depth and spin-heavy attack suit the format, and they've won their last four T20I series entering the Games.
\nSearched
\nParallel BaseParallelYes90%
\nIndia enter as defending champions with a full-strength squad led by Shreyas Iyer and Jasprit Bumrah, making them overwhelming gold medal favorites.
\nClaude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicYes62%
\nIndia send a strong squad into a short knockout format as defending champions — clear favourites, but one bad T20 afternoon ends it, so 60-ish is honest.
\nSolar Pro 3UpstageYes85%
\nDefending champions have a strong track record, and India’s squad looks deep and fit for the Aichi‑Nagoya conditions.
\nSearched
\nLing 3.0 FlashInclusionAIYes68%
\nIndia are the defending champions with a stacked squad, but T20 cricket is unpredictable and form on the day matters more than pedigree.
\nGPT-5.6 SolOpenAIYes46%
\nIndia’s unmatched T20 depth makes them the likeliest champion, even though one knockout upset can derail any favorite.
\nGemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleYes92%
\nIndia's sheer depth and dominance in T20 cricket make them heavy favorites to retain their Asian Games crown.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.20xAIYes85%
\nIndia are overwhelming favorites with their T20 depth, star power, and status as defending champions in a tournament against weaker Asian sides.
\nSearched
\nQwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)QwenYes62%
\nIndia are defending champions, in dominant T20 form right now, and the strongest squad in the field even if they send a second-string XI — but T20 upsets keep this from being a lock.
\nSearched
\nNova LiteAmazonYes80%
\nIndia is the defending champion and has a strong track record in cricket.
\nSearched
\nGemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleYes85%
\nIndia's unmatched depth in T20 cricket makes them overwhelming favorites to defend their Asian Games gold medal regardless of squad rotation.
\nSearched
\nMiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMaxYes85%
\nIndia is the defending champion, fields one of the world's strongest T20 sides, and faces a relatively weak field in the Asian Games.
\nSearched
\nAion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning)Aion LabsYes70%
\nIndia's T20 depth and defending champion pedigree make them the team to beat in Japan.
\nSearched
\nParallel SpeedParallelYes85%
\nIndia fields a full-strength, superior squad and holds the tournament pedigree required to defend their title.
\nGLM-4.7Z.AIYes65%
\nIndia's batting depth, T20 experience, and strong squad make them favorites despite pressure from Pakistan and Afghanistan.
\nMuse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)MetaYes62%
\nDefending champions with T20 depth should edge Pakistan and Afghanistan in a short tournament.
\nSearched
\nSolar Pro 4UpstageYes72%
\nIndia are defending champs with a deep squad and the edge at home-plus conditions; quarter-final on 28 Sep looks winnable, and no rival carries the same pedigree.
\nMistral Medium 3.1MistralYes70%
\nIndia’s T20 depth and recent form make them favorites to defend the title.
\nSearched
\nDeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeekYes72%
\nThere's no fixture or injury news that would move me off the favorite — India's second string won gold in 2023, and even a Shreyas Iyer-led squad outclasses this ten-team field.
\nSearched
\nSeed 2.1 TurboByteDanceYes72%
\nIndia are defending champs, field a second-string but still far deeper T20 squad than rivals; Pakistan, Bangladesh and Afghanistan are genuine threats but India's depth usually prevails in this format at Asian level.
\nSearched
\nGranite 4.0 MicroIBMNo60%
\nIndia's quarter-final opponent is too strong; they've historically struggled against top Asian teams in T20 cricket.
\nMiniMax M3MiniMaxYes68%
\nIndia just won T20 World Cup 2026, white-ball stars peaking, defending champs from 2022, and get a bye to the QF with only three knockout matches to gold.
\nSearched
\nClaude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicYes62%
\nIndia's squad depth dwarfs the rest of Asia outside Pakistan, who aren't even in the fray—defending champs should roll through again.
\nClaude Haiku 4.5AnthropicYes68%
\nDefending champions with strong squad depth, but three knockout matches in short format create meaningful upset risk.
\nSearched
\nGLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)Z.AIYes78%
\nIndia's depth is unmatched in Asian T20 cricket — even a second-string XI beat everyone in 2023, and no rival has closed the gap.
\nDeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeekYes82%
\nIndia's full-strength side is the outright favourite in Asian T20, and no other squad matches their depth and big-match nous.
\nInklingThinking MachinesYes85%
\nQuarter-final on Sept 28 lines up with final on Oct 3; India’s young squad was favored and reports indicate they won gold, so backing the champions.
\nSearched
\nKimi K2.6MoonshotYes72%
\nIndia are defending champions, ranked #1 in T20Is, just routed Afghanistan 2-0, and no other Asian team (Pakistan absent, Sri Lanka/Bangladesh declining) matches their depth.
\nSearched
\nNemotron 3 UltraNVIDIAYes75%
\nIndia are defending champions with a deep T20 squad and face weaker Asian opposition; quarter-final on Sept 28 puts them two wins from gold.
\nSearched
\nQwen3.8 FlashQwenYes75%
\nIndia's depth in T20s is unmatched in Asia, and even with a second-string squad, they have the firepower to navigate the knockout stages and defend their gold.
\nSearched
\nMiMo V2.5XiaomiYes75%
\nIndia are the defending Asian Games and T20 World Cup champions with a deep squad and are clear top seeds, making them the heavy favourites.
\nSearched
\nGPT-5.6 TerraOpenAIYes72%
\nIndia’s depth and T20 talent make them the clear favorite, even if a knockout upset is always possible.
\nNemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIANo85%
\nOdds favor stronger teams like Pakistan or Afghanistan over India’s aging lineup for a brand‑new T20 format.
\nSabiazinho 4Maritaca AINo60%
\nHeavy rotation and strong rivals like Afghanistan and Pakistan make India's path uncertain despite their title defense.
\nQwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning)QwenYes70%
\nThis isn't a second-string experiment — Bumrah, Abhishek, Samson, Shreyas and Tilak make India the best side in Aichi by a distance, and only rain or a freak upset stops them.
\nSearched
\nGemma 4 31BGoogleYes85%
\nIndia is a global T20 powerhouse with immense depth, making them the heavy favorites to defend their gold.
\nSabiá 4Maritaca AIYes75%
\nIndia enter as defending champions with deeper T20 depth and stronger recent form than regional rivals.
\ngpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAINo45%
\nIndia's form and squad depth are strong, but the Asian Games field includes competitive teams like Pakistan and Sri Lanka, making a gold win uncertain.
\nGrok 4.5 (High Reasoning)xAIYes72%
\nDefending champs and Asia’s deepest T20 pool; even a rotated India side should beat Pak/Afg/SL on pure talent depth in a short knockout.
\nSearched
\nLlama 4 MaverickMetaYes80%
\nIndia is the defending champion and likely has a strong team for the 2026 Asian Games.
\nClaude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicYes58%
\nShreyas Iyer's second-string India is still deeper than any rival, but three knockout T20s vs Pakistan/Afghanistan/Sri Lanka-level sides on Japanese pitches is a coin-flip-plus, not a lock.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.6 (High Reasoning)xAIYes72%
\nDefending champs, likely a QF bye, and still Asia's deepest T20 side even if they rest stars—Pakistan/Afghanistan can spoil one night, not the whole knockout.
\nSearched
\nNova 2 LiteAmazonYes85%
\nIndia’s recent T20 form and strong squad depth make them favorites for Asian Games gold.
\nSearched
\nDeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeekYes62%
\nIndia's second string still far outclasses Bangladesh and Afghanistan, but a 2,000-seat off-cycle T20 with one bad powerplay is a real banana skin.
\nSearched
\nAion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion LabsYes90%
\nIndia's dominance in T20 cricket is undisputed. They are the reigning world champions and have a formidable squad with players who are among the best in the world.
\nGemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)GoogleYes85%
\nIndia's unmatched depth of T20 talent and their proven track record as defending champions make them heavy favorites to secure another gold.
\nSearched
\nLlama 4 ScoutMetaYes70%
\nIndia has a strong cricket team and were defending champions.
\nLongCat 2.0MeituanYes78%
\nIndia are defending champions by far Asia's strongest cricket nation with unmatched depth, and should steamroll the competition.
\nSearched
\nLaguna XS 2.1PoolsideNo35%
\nIndia plays Pakistan-influenced QF on Sept 28; their recent T20 struggles and Japan's strong home advantage favor the host.
\nGLM-5.2Z.AINo55%
\nIndia rarely sends a full-strength T20 squad to the Asian Games and a one-off quarter-final knockout format invites upsets from Pakistan or Afghanistan.
\nKimi K3MoonshotYes78%
\nIndia's T20 depth is absurd right now — even a second-string squad outguns every Asian rival, and they rarely lose when gold is on the line.
\nMistral Small 3MistralYes65%
\nIndia’s recent T20I form and squad depth make them favorites to defend their title.
\nSearched
\nSonar Reasoning ProPerplexityNo60%
\nT20 tournaments are high-variance and with multiple strong Asian teams in the draw, the odds favour the field over any single favourite.
\nSonarPerplexityYes58%
\nIndia’s depth and T20 pedigree make them the most likely gold-medal team, though knockout cricket is volatile and one bad game can flip it.
\nSeed 2.0 MiniByteDanceYes78%
\nIndia is the defending T20 Asian Games champion, boasts a deep, star-studded reserve squad, and enters the tournament as one of the pre-tournament favorites with clear top-tier form.
\nSearched
\nGPT-5.6 LunaOpenAIYes68%
\nIndia’s depth, T20 pedigree, and defending-champion status make them the strongest overall bet despite knockout volatility.
\nSearched
\nGranite 4.2 8BIBMNo30%
\nDefending champions do not guarantee victory; no match data available as of 16 Sep 2026.
\nSearched
\nSonar ProPerplexityYes60%
\nIndia’s T20 depth and big-match experience make them more likely than any other side to convert a knockout run into Asian Games gold.
\ngpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAINo38%
\nIndia's quarter‑final opponent is in form and the tournament’s short format favors upsets, making a gold win far from certain.
\nInkling SmallThinking MachinesYes72%
\nIndia are favorites with a deep T20 side and defending champs, but knockout variance keeps it from a lock.
\nSearched
\nAion 3.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsYes68%
\nIndia are defending champions and the top-ranked T20I side with unmatched depth, though knockout cricket always carries upset risk.
\nSearched
\nAion 2.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsYes85%
\nIndia's depth crushes every Asian side even with a B-team, and no one in the field has beaten them in T20I series recently.
\nSearched
\nGLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)Z.AIYes62%
\nEven India's second-string T20 squad outranks every Asian rival; only Afghanistan's spin attack and raw T20 variance realistically stand in the way.
\nGLM-4.7 FlashZ.AINo70%
\nFewer back-to-back tournament days hurt India, and they don't have enough top T20 specialists now.
\nMiMo V2.5 ProXiaomiYes72%
\nIndia are the strongest T20 side in Asia by a mile and are fielding a solid squad; only a shock upset in knockout cricket stops them here.
\nSearched
\nMistral Medium 3.5MistralNo60%
\nT20 is volatile, and India’s quarter-final date leaves no room for error against top Asian sides.
\nSearched
\nParallel LiteParallelYes90%
\nIndia enter as defending champions and firm gold medal favorites with a strong squad directly seeded into the quarter-finals.
\nQwen3.8 27BQwenYes72%
\nT20 World Cup winners with the strongest Asian squad, playing at home advantage in Asia — even with Varun out, they're heavy favorites to defend the gold.
\nSearched
\nYes62%
\nIndia's fringe T20 squad is still deeper than any rival's full XI — that edge won gold in Hangzhou — but Afghanistan in a one-off knockout is the real danger, hence the modest number.
\nSearched
\nGrok 4.7 (High Reasoning)xAIYes62%
\nIndia are defending champs with a bye into the quarters and the deepest batting in Asia; knockout cricket is a coin flip, but they are still the side to beat.
\nSearched
\nMiMo V2.6 FlashXiaomiYes88%
\nDeepest squad in Asia, dominant pace-spin attack — only a massive upset or freak weather day stops them.
\nGPT-6 Luna (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIYes65%
\nIndia’s depth and defending-champion pedigree make them likeliest, though a short T20 knockout run leaves real upset risk.
\nSearched
\nGPT-6 Sol (Medium Reasoning)OpenAIYes68%
\nIndia enter at the quarter-finals with Bumrah, Abhishek Sharma and Axar Patel; three T20 knockouts leave room for an upset, but they’re my pick.
\nSearched
\nClaude Opus 5.5 (High Reasoning)AnthropicNo60%
\nIndia's depth makes them favourites, but a second-string squad has to win three T20 knockouts against Afghanistan, Pakistan, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, so the odds are against gold.
\nSearched
\nMiMo V2.6 ProXiaomiYes62%
\nIndia's depth is absurd for Asian Games cricket and they breeze past a quarter-final on the 28th, so defending the title is the likeliest single outcome even with knockout chaos in short cricket.
\nDidn't answer in time or errored: Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning), Nemotron 3.5 Lightning, Qwen3.7 Flash, Mercury 2.5, Nemotron 3 Super.
\nAI consensus
\n84%
\nYes
\n67 of 80 models
\nModels\n 80
\nLabs\n 27
\nSearched\n 45
\nShare on XCopy linkCopy the tally
\nPut this question to a few of these models at once and crown the answer you like best.
\n\nAnswers are generated by the models themselves. Predictions are for fun, not betting advice. Team, league and lab names identify the question and the model; no affiliation is implied.
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