Colts at Chiefs, Sunday Night Football: 78 AI models predict the result
We asked 78 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. 97% picked Kansas City Chiefs. See every answer and who dissented.
← We asked every AILive · 78/79 models
PredictionNFL· Sun, Sep 20
Colts at Chiefs, Sunday Night Football
Asked verbatim: “NFL Week 2, Sunday Night Football, September 20, 2026: the Indianapolis Colts play at the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead. Who wins?”
How the AIs voted
One dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.
1%Indianapolis Colts
1 model
97%Kansas City Chiefs



PU
76 models
1%Other
1 model
By lab
- Google6 / 6 Kansas City Chiefs
- OpenAI6 / 6 Kansas City Chiefs
- Qwen5 / 5 Kansas City Chiefs
- Z.AI5 / 5 Kansas City Chiefs
- Aion Labs4 / 4 Kansas City Chiefs
- Anthropic4 / 4 Kansas City Chiefs
- 21 other labs46 / 48 Kansas City Chiefs
78 of 79 models have voted. Hover a dot for the model, its lab and its argument.
How the consensus formed
Running share as each of the 79 models answered.
0%25%50%75%100%1st answer3978 of 79Claude Haiku 4.5 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 1 of 78)Kimi K3 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 2 of 78)DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 3 of 78)MiMo V2.5 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 4 of 78)GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 5 of 78)Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 6 of 78)Mistral Medium 3.1 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 7 of 78)Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 8 of 78)Grok 4.3 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 9 of 78)Parallel Lite → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 10 of 78)Parallel Speed → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 11 of 78)Sonar Reasoning Pro → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 12 of 78)Parallel Base → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 13 of 78)Nemotron 3 Super → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 14 of 78)Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 15 of 78)Sonar → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 16 of 78)Aion 2.0 (Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 17 of 78)Laguna XS 2.1 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 18 of 78)GLM-5.2 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 19 of 78)GLM-4.7 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 20 of 78)Laguna S 2.1 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 21 of 78)Aion 3.0 (Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 22 of 78)Nova Lite → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 23 of 78)Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 24 of 78)Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 25 of 78)Hy4 Preview → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 26 of 78)Inkling → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 27 of 78)gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 28 of 78)Nemotron 3 Ultra → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 29 of 78)Solar Pro 3 → Indianapolis Colts (answer 30 of 78)GPT-5.6 Luna → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 31 of 78)Mistral Medium 3.5 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 32 of 78)Granite 4.2 8B → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 33 of 78)Nemotron 3.5 Lightning → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 34 of 78)Inkling Small → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 35 of 78)Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 36 of 78)DeepSeek V4 Flash → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 37 of 78)Solar Pro 4 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 38 of 78)Nemotron 3 Nano 30B → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 39 of 78)MiniMax M3 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 40 of 78)Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 41 of 78)Llama 4 Scout → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 42 of 78)Qwen3.7 Flash → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 43 of 78)Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 44 of 78)Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 45 of 78)Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 46 of 78)Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 47 of 78)DeepSeek V4.1 Flash → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 48 of 78)Mistral Small 3 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 49 of 78)LongCat 2.0 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 50 of 78)Kimi K2.6 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 51 of 78)MiMo V2.5 Pro → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 52 of 78)Seed 2.1 Turbo → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 53 of 78)Sabiazinho 4 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 54 of 78)Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 55 of 78)Qwen3.8 27B → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 56 of 78)Llama 4 Maverick → Other (answer 57 of 78)Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 58 of 78)Nova 2 Lite → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 59 of 78)Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 60 of 78)GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 61 of 78)Grok 4.20 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 62 of 78)Sonar Pro → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 63 of 78)gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 64 of 78)Aion-RP 1.0 (8B) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 65 of 78)Seed 2.0 Mini → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 66 of 78)Qwen3.8 Flash → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 67 of 78)GLM-4.7 Flash → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 68 of 78)GPT-5.6 Sol → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 69 of 78)Ling 3.0 Flash → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 70 of 78)GPT-5.6 Terra → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 71 of 78)GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 72 of 78)Sabiá 4 → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 73 of 78)Gemma 4 31B → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 74 of 78)Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 75 of 78)Granite 4.0 Micro → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 76 of 78)MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning) → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 77 of 78)Union Alpha → Kansas City Chiefs (answer 78 of 78)Kansas City Chiefs97%Indianapolis Colts1%Other1%
The read
75 of 77 models picked the Chiefs, citing Arrowhead's home-field edge and a healthy Mahomes against a rebuilding Colts squad off a bad Week 1 loss. Solar Pro 3 dissented for the Colts, citing a banged-up KC team, while Llama 4 Maverick gave no clear pick.
Written by claude-sonnet-5 after reading every answer.
The contrarians
2 models went against the room.
Solar Pro 3UpstageSearched
Indianapolis Colts85% sure
The Chiefs are banged up on both sides of the ball and have struggled to control the clock this season, while the Colts have a balanced attack and a home‑field edge at Arrowhead.
Llama 4 MaverickMetaMemory
To determine the winner of the NFL Week 2, Sunday Night Football game between t…
Every answer
78 answers · in the order they came in · unedited apart from length.
Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropic
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Chiefs dominated Week 1 at home and face a Colts team that got routed; Arrowhead is fortress and KC has momentum.
Searched
Kimi K3Moonshot
Kansas City Chiefs63%
Arrowhead at night tilts this hard — KC's veteran core and home edge usually outclass a Colts roster that's still mid-rebuild.
DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeek
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Arrowhead is the hardest place to play in the NFL, and the Chiefs' home scoring offense has only gotten more versatile since last season.
MiMo V2.5Xiaomi
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Chiefs are 1-0, at Arrowhead where they're historically dominant, favored by 6.5, and the Colts lost 41-23 to Baltimore in Week 1 — Kansas City wins comfortably.
Searched
GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)Z.AI
Kansas City Chiefs66%
Mahomes at Arrowhead on Sunday night is still the league's most reliable home edge, and the Colts' defense rarely survives that spotlight.
Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)Google
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Playing at Arrowhead gives the Chiefs a massive edge over the Colts in prime time.
Searched
Mistral Medium 3.1Mistral
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Arrowhead at night, Chiefs are 6.5-point favorites, and Mahomes at home is a proven edge.
Searched
Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)Google
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Patrick Mahomes at home in prime time against Indianapolis is as reliable as it gets in NFL Week 2.
Searched
Grok 4.3xAI
Kansas City Chiefs72%
Arrowhead at night, Patrick Mahomes, and the Colts still rebuilding.
Searched
Parallel LiteParallel
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Playing at Arrowhead Stadium, the Chiefs enter as 6.5-point favorites against a Colts squad coming off a 41-23 Week 1 loss.
Parallel SpeedParallel
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Kansas City holds home-field advantage at Arrowhead and boasts superior overall roster depth against Indianapolis.
Sonar Reasoning ProPerplexity
Kansas City Chiefs70%
Arrowhead at night, Mahomes in prime time, and betting markets heavily favor KC to handle the Colts.
Parallel BaseParallel
Kansas City Chiefs66%
Playing at Arrowhead with strong odds in their favor, the Chiefs hold a clear home-field advantage against the Colts.
Nemotron 3 SuperNVIDIA
Kansas City Chiefs80%
The Chiefs opened 1-0 with a dominant performance, while the Colts fell 0-1 and face a tough road test against a motivated Kansas City squad coming off a Monday night win.
Searched
Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning)xAI
Kansas City Chiefs72%
Mahomes looked healthy in a 31-10 MNF rout while Jones just got gashed 41-23 at home; Arrowhead SNF is a mismatch.
Searched
SonarPerplexity
Kansas City Chiefs73%
Arrowhead on Sunday night is a huge edge, and the Chiefs are the safer bet in a primetime home game.
Aion 2.0 (Reasoning)Aion Labs
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Chiefs are 6.5-point home favorites at Arrowhead, and a dome team traveling to a hostile night environment rarely pulls the upset.
Searched
Laguna XS 2.1Poolside
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Mahomes + home field advantage in Kansas City usually decides these games, and the Colts are rebuilding.
GLM-5.2Z.AI
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Arrowhead at night is already a nightmare for visitors; the Colts just got boat-raced by the Ravens offense, and their QB Jones looked shaky off injury while Mahomes looked healthy and sharp.
Searched
GLM-4.7Z.AI
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Arrowhead at night is a fortress, and KC's offense outclasses what Indy can bring in September.
Laguna S 2.1Poolside
Kansas City Chiefs72%
Mahomes at home in Arrowhead against a rebuilding Colts team — too much firepower for Indy to handle.
Searched
Aion 3.0 (Reasoning)Aion Labs
Kansas City Chiefs82%
Mahomes at Arrowhead on Sunday night is about as safe as it gets in the NFL — the Colts are solid but outmatched in this environment.
Nova LiteAmazon
Kansas City Chiefs70%
Based on historical performance and team strengths, the Chiefs are favored to win.
Searched
Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning)Aion Labs
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Chiefs at home with Mahomes are nearly unbeatable, especially against a rebuilding Colts team.
Searched
Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning)Google
Kansas City Chiefs68%
Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs rarely let a primetime showcase slip at Arrowhead against an inconsistent Colts secondary.
Hy4 PreviewTencent
Kansas City Chiefs66%
Arrowhead at night with Reid and Mahomes is the toughest ticket in football; Indy's new-look defense hasn't earned the benefit of the doubt yet.
InklingThinking MachinesKansas City Chiefs
Searched
gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAI
Kansas City Chiefs68%
Chiefs' home-field advantage and potent offense make them slight favorites at Arrowhead.
Searched
Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Mahomes at Arrowhead on SNF with a full offseason to fix the defense beats a Colts team still proving it can win on the road against elite AFC competition.
Solar Pro 3Upstage
Indianapolis Colts85%
The Chiefs are banged up on both sides of the ball and have struggled to control the clock this season, while the Colts have a balanced attack and a home‑field edge at Arrowhead.
Searched
GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAI
Kansas City Chiefs68%
Arrowhead’s home-field advantage and Kansas City’s superior late-game quarterbacking make the Chiefs the safer Week 2 choice.
Searched
Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Arrowhead at night, Chiefs favored by 6.5, Mahomes at home.
Searched
Granite 4.2 8BIBM
Kansas City Chiefs55%
Chiefs have strong home-field advantage and recent consistency; Colts' recent form is less predictable.
Searched
Nemotron 3.5 LightningNVIDIA
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Chiefs are 3.5-point home favorites with Mahomes at full health, while the Colts' offense ranks 28th in DVOA and their defense has allowed 24+ points in 8 straight games.
Inkling SmallThinking MachinesKansas City Chiefs82%
Arrowhead Sunday night, Mahomes at home after a blowout win, Colts already shredded by Baltimore—Chiefs by a touchdown.
Searched
Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)Meta
Kansas City Chiefs68%
Home favorite of -6.5 at Arrowhead in Week 2, Chiefs have deeper roster and Colts are on the road.
Searched
DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeek
Kansas City Chiefs82%
KC just hung 31 on Denver with Mahomes back and Walker III rolling for 173; Indy got gashed 41-23 by Baltimore and now walks into Arrowhead on a short week.
Searched
Solar Pro 4Upstage
Kansas City Chiefs70%
Arrowhead is the loudest home field in football and a healthy Mahomes-led Chiefs team beats a young Colts squad most Sundays.
Nemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIA
Kansas City Chiefs85%
The Chiefs are defending champs with Patrick Mahomes while the Colts are rebuilding and missing key defensive pieces.
MiniMax M3MiniMax
Kansas City Chiefs62%
Home field and Mahomes at Arrowhead give KC the edge, but Indy showed fight last week so this stays closer than Vegas expects.
Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning)Meta
Kansas City Chiefs58%
Arrowhead at night is still Arrowhead, and Mahomes at home in primetime gets the edge.
Llama 4 ScoutMeta
Kansas City Chiefs70%
The Chiefs' high-powered offense and home-field advantage at Arrowhead will propel them to victory.
Qwen3.7 FlashQwen
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Arrowhead Stadium is a nightmare for any visitor, and Mahomes in primetime at home is the safest bet in football.
Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning)Qwen
Kansas City Chiefs62%
At Arrowhead on Sunday night, Mahomes with the ball late beats a good-but-unproven Colts secondary more often than not.
Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)Anthropic
Kansas City Chiefs71%
Mahomes at Arrowhead in prime time is still the safest bet in football, and Kansas City rarely loses two September home games in a row.
Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)Qwen
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Chiefs just dismantled Denver 31-10 with a healthy Mahomes and a 173-yard Kenneth Walker debut at home, while the Colts got shellacked 41-23 by Baltimore with a rusty QB returning from an Achilles tear.
Searched
Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)Anthropic
Kansas City Chiefs64%
Colts just gave up 41 to Baltimore at home; Mahomes under the Arrowhead lights on Sunday night is still the safest bet in football.
Searched
DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeek
Kansas City Chiefs86%
Mahomes just hung 31 on Denver with Walker III going for 173, while the Colts got smoked 41-23 at home; Arrowhead on a short week is a brutal ask.
Searched
Mistral Small 3Mistral
Kansas City Chiefs62%
Chiefs favored by 6.5 at home with Mahomes vs weaker Colts defense.
Searched
LongCat 2.0Meituan
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Mahomes looked healthy in a 31-10 rout while the Colts got blown out 41-23 and their QB play is a question mark.
Searched
Kimi K2.6Moonshot
Kansas City Chiefs82%
Chiefs crushed Denver 31-10 with Mahomes' return & Kenneth Walker III's 173 yards, Indy lost 41-23 to Baltimore—Arrowhead home field is nasty.
Searched
MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Mahomes looks healthy, KC dismantled Denver on MNF, and Arrowhead at night with a 6.5-point spread is a buzzsaw for a Colts team that just got torched by Baltimore.
Searched
Seed 2.1 TurboByteDance
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Mahomes looked healthy coming off injury, Walker III exploded for 173 yards in Week 1, and Arrowhead under the lights is a brutal road spot for a Colts team that just got gashed by the Ravens.
Searched
Sabiazinho 4Maritaca AI
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Home-field advantage, Mahomes at Arrowhead, and Colts' shaky O-line project a tough outing for Joseph.
Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)Google
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Arrowhead Stadium is a fortress, and Kansas City's sustained offensive efficiency under Mahomes consistently outclasses Indianapolis in high-stakes primetime matchups.
Searched
Qwen3.8 27BQwen
Kansas City Chiefs68%
Chiefs are home on a rolling offense (31-10 over Denver, Mahomes fresh off his return), while Indy just got exposed by Baltimore for 41 and has no answer for KC's pass rush.
Searched
Llama 4 MaverickMeta
To determine the winner of the NFL Week 2, Sunday Night Football game between t…
Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)Anthropic
Kansas City Chiefs58%
Arrowhead night game plus Mahomes finding rhythm tips this narrow, especially if Richardson's turnovers show up again.
Nova 2 LiteAmazon
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Chiefs have home-field advantage and stronger defense to contain Anthony Richardson.
Searched
Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)Google
Kansas City Chiefs73%
Arrowhead is notoriously hostile under the primetime lights, and Kansas City simply has too much offensive firepower for Indianapolis to match over four quarters.
Searched
GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)OpenAI
Kansas City Chiefs62%
Arrowhead is the edge: I trust Kansas City at home to force one more mistake and finish one more drive than Indianapolis.
Grok 4.20xAI
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Arrowhead in September is a house of horrors for any visitor, and the Colts simply lack the firepower to upset a perennial powerhouse at home.
Searched
Sonar ProPerplexity
Kansas City Chiefs69%
Arrowhead on Sunday night strongly favors the Chiefs, and their late-game execution is usually the safer bet in a tight matchup.
gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAI
Kansas City Chiefs70%
Chiefs’ high-powered offense and home-field advantage at Arrowhead give them the edge over the Colts.
Searched
Aion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion Labs
Kansas City Chiefs80%
The Chiefs have a formidable offense led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who threw for over 5,000 yards and 50 touchdowns in 2025. Wide receiver Tyreek Hill is a speedster who can take the top off the defense at any moment.
Seed 2.0 MiniByteDance
Kansas City Chiefs92%
The Chiefs won their Week 1 home opener against Denver, have a loaded offense led by Mahomes, and will dominate the Colts at Arrowhead.
Searched
Qwen3.8 FlashQwen
Kansas City Chiefs74%
Mahomes just looked mobile in his return, Kenneth Walker ripped off 173 yards at Arrowhead, and the Colts are 0-1 after Baltimore hung 41 on them — betting against Andy Reid at home in October-light conditions is a bad habit.
Searched
GLM-4.7 FlashZ.AI
Kansas City Chiefs65%
Chiefs are heavy road favorites and have elite offense; Colts are improving but will likely struggle at Arrowhead.
GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI
Kansas City Chiefs72%
At Arrowhead in prime time, Kansas City’s quarterback-and-coaching edge is the safest bet against an Indianapolis team facing a brutal road test.
Ling 3.0 FlashInclusionAIKansas City Chiefs78%
Home-field advantage at Arrowhead and the Chiefs' elite offense give them the edge over the Colts in Week 2.
GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAI
Kansas City Chiefs68%
Arrowhead at night plus Patrick Mahomes is still the safer bet than trusting Indianapolis on the road.
GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)Z.AI
Kansas City Chiefs82%
Arrowhead at night is the NFL's hardest road test, and Patrick Mahomes against a rebuilding Colts roster is a mismatch until Indy proves otherwise.
Sabiá 4Maritaca AI
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Chiefs at home with Mahomes are near-unbeatable in primetime; Colts aren't built to outshoot them.
Gemma 4 31BGoogle
Kansas City Chiefs75%
Arrowhead is a fortress and Mahomes remains the most lethal weapon in football against a developing Colts defense.
Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning)xAI
Kansas City Chiefs78%
Chiefs just smoked Denver 31-10 with Mahomes healthy and Walker exploding; Colts got crushed 41-23 and Jones looked shaky post-Achilles—Arrowhead SNF favors KC hard.
Searched
Granite 4.0 MicroIBM
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Chiefs' defense historically dominates high-powered offenses like the Colts'.
MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMax
Kansas City Chiefs85%
Chiefs are dominant at Arrowhead and just hung 31 on Denver while Indy gave up 41 to Baltimore.
Searched
PUUnion AlphaUndisclosed maker
Kansas City Chiefs74%
Colts' D just got shredded by Baltimore and now must travel to Arrowhead to face a Chiefs team that crushed Denver in Week 1 — Mahomes at home is the closest thing to a lock.
Searched
Didn't answer in time or errored: Mercury 2.5.
AI consensus
97%
Kansas City Chiefs
76 of 78 models
Models : 78
Labs : 27
Searched : 41
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