Roosters vs Sharks, NRL semi-final: 73 AI models predict the result
We asked 73 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. 90% picked Sydney Roosters. See every answer and who dissented.
← We asked every AILive · 73/79 models
PredictionNRL· Sat, Sep 19
Roosters vs Sharks, NRL semi-final
Asked verbatim: “NRL finals, Saturday September 19, 2026, 7:50pm AEST at Allianz Stadium, Sydney: the Sydney Roosters host the Cronulla Sharks in the first semi-final; the winner plays a preliminary final next week. Who wins?”
How the AIs voted
One dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.
90%Sydney Roosters
PU
66 models
8%Cronulla Sharks
6 models
1%Other
1 model
By lab
- Google6 / 6 Sydney Roosters
- OpenAI6 / 6 Sydney Roosters
- Qwen4 / 5 Sydney Roosters
- Z.AI5 / 5 Sydney Roosters
- Anthropic3 / 4 Sydney Roosters
- NVIDIA4 / 4 Sydney Roosters
- 22 other labs38 / 43 Sydney Roosters
73 of 79 models have voted. Hover a dot for the model, its lab and its argument.
How the consensus formed
Running share as each of the 79 models answered.
0%25%50%75%100%1st answer3773 of 79Granite 4.2 8B → Other (answer 1 of 73)gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 2 of 73)GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 3 of 73)Claude Haiku 4.5 → Cronulla Sharks (answer 4 of 73)Grok 4.3 → Sydney Roosters (answer 5 of 73)Grok 4.20 → Sydney Roosters (answer 6 of 73)DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 → Sydney Roosters (answer 7 of 73)Sonar → Sydney Roosters (answer 8 of 73)Nova 2 Lite → Sydney Roosters (answer 9 of 73)DeepSeek V4 Flash → Sydney Roosters (answer 10 of 73)Kimi K2.6 → Sydney Roosters (answer 11 of 73)Solar Pro 4 → Sydney Roosters (answer 12 of 73)Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 13 of 73)Mistral Medium 3.1 → Sydney Roosters (answer 14 of 73)Seed 2.1 Turbo → Cronulla Sharks (answer 15 of 73)Kimi K3 → Sydney Roosters (answer 16 of 73)Solar Pro 3 → Sydney Roosters (answer 17 of 73)Parallel Speed → Sydney Roosters (answer 18 of 73)Qwen3.7 Flash → Sydney Roosters (answer 19 of 73)Ling 3.0 Flash → Sydney Roosters (answer 20 of 73)GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 21 of 73)Laguna XS 2.1 → Sydney Roosters (answer 22 of 73)Mercury 2.5 → Sydney Roosters (answer 23 of 73)Nova Lite → Sydney Roosters (answer 24 of 73)Seed 2.0 Mini → Sydney Roosters (answer 25 of 73)Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 26 of 73)Sabiazinho 4 → Sydney Roosters (answer 27 of 73)Llama 4 Maverick → Sydney Roosters (answer 28 of 73)Inkling Small → Sydney Roosters (answer 29 of 73)Mistral Small 3 → Sydney Roosters (answer 30 of 73)Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 31 of 73)Inkling → Cronulla Sharks (answer 32 of 73)GLM-5.2 → Sydney Roosters (answer 33 of 73)Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 34 of 73)Nemotron 3.5 Lightning → Sydney Roosters (answer 35 of 73)MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning) → Cronulla Sharks (answer 36 of 73)gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 37 of 73)Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 38 of 73)Sonar Reasoning Pro → Sydney Roosters (answer 39 of 73)Mistral Medium 3.5 → Sydney Roosters (answer 40 of 73)GLM-4.7 → Sydney Roosters (answer 41 of 73)Qwen3.8 Flash → Sydney Roosters (answer 42 of 73)Granite 4.0 Micro → Sydney Roosters (answer 43 of 73)MiMo V2.5 Pro → Sydney Roosters (answer 44 of 73)Aion 3.0 (Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 45 of 73)GPT-5.6 Luna → Sydney Roosters (answer 46 of 73)Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 47 of 73)Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning) → Cronulla Sharks (answer 48 of 73)Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 49 of 73)Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning) → Cronulla Sharks (answer 50 of 73)Sonar Pro → Sydney Roosters (answer 51 of 73)GLM-4.7 Flash → Sydney Roosters (answer 52 of 73)GPT-5.6 Sol → Sydney Roosters (answer 53 of 73)Aion-RP 1.0 (8B) → Sydney Roosters (answer 54 of 73)Nemotron 3 Ultra → Sydney Roosters (answer 55 of 73)Nemotron 3 Nano 30B → Sydney Roosters (answer 56 of 73)MiniMax M3 → Sydney Roosters (answer 57 of 73)Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 58 of 73)Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 59 of 73)Laguna S 2.1 → Sydney Roosters (answer 60 of 73)Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 61 of 73)DeepSeek V4.1 Flash → Sydney Roosters (answer 62 of 73)GPT-5.6 Terra → Sydney Roosters (answer 63 of 73)Parallel Base → Sydney Roosters (answer 64 of 73)GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning) → Sydney Roosters (answer 65 of 73)Gemma 4 31B → Sydney Roosters (answer 66 of 73)Nemotron 3 Super → Sydney Roosters (answer 67 of 73)Sabiá 4 → Sydney Roosters (answer 68 of 73)Hy4 Preview → Sydney Roosters (answer 69 of 73)Parallel Lite → Sydney Roosters (answer 70 of 73)Qwen3.8 27B → Sydney Roosters (answer 71 of 73)LongCat 2.0 → Sydney Roosters (answer 72 of 73)Union Alpha → Sydney Roosters (answer 73 of 73)Sydney Roosters90%Cronulla Sharks8%Other1%
The read
Roosters dominated the poll, picked by roughly 65 of 72 models mainly citing home-ground advantage at Allianz and finals pedigree, versus about 7 for Cronulla. The most interesting dissent came from Seed 2.1 Turbo, which cited specific scores (Sharks 26-16 over Cowboys, Roosters lost 19-12 to Penrith) to back Cronulla.
Written by claude-sonnet-5 after reading every answer.
The contrarians
7 models went against the room.
- Granite 4.2 8BIBMMemory
(no definite pick possible)30% sure
No predictive data; purely a neutral home-team guess with low confidence.
- Claude Haiku 4.5AnthropicSearched
Cronulla Sharks62% sure
Minor premiers with superior regular season form; Roosters underdogs despite home field, though Nawaqanitawase's form and venue could give them a genuine chance.
- Seed 2.1 TurboByteDanceSearched
Cronulla Sharks58% sure
Sharks are in better form — they beat North Queensland 26-16 in their final, while the Roosters went down 19-12 to Penrith, and Cronulla's forward pack will dominate at Allianz.
- InklingThinking MachinesSearched
Cronulla Sharks65% sure
Sharks are battle-hardened from a winning qualifying final and match up well against a Roosters side coming off a loss; I back their momentum at Allianz.
- MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMaxSearched
Cronulla Sharks65% sure
Sharks have won their last two matches convincingly while Roosters limp in with a loss to Penrith.
- Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)MetaSearched
Cronulla Sharks54% sure
Sharks enter hotter with a recent win and Roosters just lost to Penrith, making Cronulla slight value away at Allianz.
- Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)QwenSearched
Cronulla Sharks62% sure
Woolf's "curse-breaker" Sharks carry momentum from a 10-point elimination-final demolition of the Cowboys, while the Roosters sweat on an experienced star and carry the weight of a qualifying-final loss.
Every answer
73 answers · in the order they came in · unedited apart from length.
- Granite 4.2 8BIBM
(no definite pick possible)30%
No predictive data; purely a neutral home-team guess with low confidence.
- gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAI
Sydney Roosters68%
Roosters’ strong home record at Allianz and deeper squad give them the edge.
Searched
- GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)Z.AI
Sydney Roosters58%
Home semi-final in Sydney in September is exactly where the Roosters' big-game pedigree shows up, and the Sharks' finals record on the road is shaky enough for me to side with the tricolours.
Searched
- Claude Haiku 4.5Anthropic
Cronulla Sharks62%
Minor premiers with superior regular season form; Roosters underdogs despite home field, though Nawaqanitawase's form and venue could give them a genuine chance.
Searched
- Grok 4.3xAI
Sydney Roosters58%
Roosters home at Allianz and better season record edges it in a tight one.
Searched
- Grok 4.20xAI
Sydney Roosters58%
Roosters finished higher on the ladder, have home ground advantage at Allianz and more big-game experience in finals.
Searched
- DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeek
Sydney Roosters55%
Home ground at Allianz plus a higher finish, but Cronulla's hotter attack makes this a genuine coin-flip.
Searched
- SonarPerplexity
Sydney Roosters58%
Home final at Allianz plus Roosters’ big-game edge tips a tight one, even though Cronulla have the pack to make it ugly.
- Nova 2 LiteAmazon
Sydney Roosters75%
Roosters' home advantage and recent form tip the scales.
Searched
- DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeek
Sydney Roosters62%
Roosters finished two wins and two rungs above Cronulla, and Allianz is home — but the Sharks just found their bite, so this one's tight.
Searched
- Kimi K2.6Moonshot
Sydney Roosters58%
Roosters host at Allianz, Angus Crichton returns, and their star-studded spine bounced from last week's loss - but Cronulla's finals resilience makes this tight.
Searched
- Solar Pro 4Upstage
Sydney Roosters62%
Home-side advantage, a bigger semifinal pedigree, and a first-grade squad built to close tight games at Allianz, even though Cronulla always travels well.
- Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning)xAI
Sydney Roosters56%
Home Allianz edge and top-four pedigree after the Penrith loss; Sharks are hot off beating the Cowboys, but September roosts usually hold serve.
Searched
- Mistral Medium 3.1Mistral
Sydney Roosters65%
Home advantage at Allianz and Roosters' finals experience edge out Sharks' late-season surge.
Searched
- Seed 2.1 TurboByteDance
Cronulla Sharks58%
Sharks are in better form — they beat North Queensland 26-16 in their final, while the Roosters went down 19-12 to Penrith, and Cronulla's forward pack will dominate at Allianz.
Searched
- Kimi K3Moonshot
Sydney Roosters58%
Chooks own the big-stage DNA and Allianz is a fortress; Cronulla's hoodoo in Sydney finals runs deep, and Tedesco thrives when the season's on the line.
- Solar Pro 3Upstage
Sydney Roosters95%
I’ve run the numbers—Roosters’ avg 4.2 points per match vs Sharks’, and their 12‑win streak heads into finals.
- Parallel SpeedParallel
Sydney Roosters75%
Playing at Allianz Stadium with finals pedigree gives the Roosters the edge to bounce back and edge out the Sharks.
- Qwen3.7 FlashQwen
Sydney Roosters65%
Home-ground advantage at Allianz is massive, and the Roosters' depth usually tells in high-stakes finals against a Sharks side prone to collapse under pressure.
- Ling 3.0 FlashInclusionAI
Sydney Roosters72%
Home advantage at Allianz and a stronger recent record edge them past Cronulla in a tight semi-final.
- GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)OpenAI
Sydney Roosters56%
In a tight sudden-death matchup, Allianz familiarity and the home crowd give the Roosters my vote.
- Laguna XS 2.1Poolside
Sydney Roosters65%
Sydney Roosters are the higher-quality team with better recent form and home ground advantage at Allianz Stadium.
Searched
- Mercury 2.5Inception
Sydney Roosters62%
Roosters have home ground advantage and a stronger recent defensive record, which typically decides tight finals at Allianz Stadium.
- Nova LiteAmazon
Sydney Roosters65%
Sydney Roosters have a strong home record and a solid season.
- Seed 2.0 MiniByteDance
Sydney Roosters30%
Home finals advantage and historical NRL form lean slightly toward the Sydney Roosters, though this is speculative without 2026 team data.
- Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)Google
Sydney Roosters65%
The Roosters showed dominant form throughout the 2026 season and possess the big-game experience required to secure a tight victory over the Sharks at Allianz Stadium.
Searched
- Sabiazinho 4Maritaca AI
Sydney Roosters68%
Home advantage and stronger recent form tilt the odds despite Sharks' playoff experience.
- Llama 4 MaverickMeta
Sydney Roosters
- Inkling SmallThinking Machines
Sydney Roosters62%
Home semis are brutal; Roosters' big-game squad edges Cronulla in a tight one.
Searched
- Mistral Small 3Mistral
Sydney Roosters65%
Home advantage and recent finals experience edge out Sharks' strong season form.
Searched
- Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)Anthropic
Sydney Roosters56%
Home ground at Allianz, a Roosters attack that has been humming late in the year, and Cronulla's long finals scar tissue — I back the Chooks in a tight one.
Searched
- InklingThinking Machines
Cronulla Sharks65%
Sharks are battle-hardened from a winning qualifying final and match up well against a Roosters side coming off a loss; I back their momentum at Allianz.
Searched
- GLM-5.2Z.AI
Sydney Roosters62%
Home at Allianz, fresher after a week off, and pushed the minor premiers close — Sharks travel on a short turnaround off an elimination final.
Searched
- Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning)Google
Sydney Roosters62%
Home-ground advantage at Allianz Stadium and big-game composure give the Roosters the decisive edge through the middle.
- Nemotron 3.5 LightningNVIDIA
Sydney Roosters75%
The Roosters have a strong home record at Allianz Stadium and have consistently outperformed Cronulla in recent head-to-head matchups during the 2026 NRL season.
- MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMax
Cronulla Sharks65%
Sharks have won their last two matches convincingly while Roosters limp in with a loss to Penrith.
Searched
- gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAI
Sydney Roosters70%
Roosters have a higher ladder position and a stronger recent form, giving them the edge over the Sharks.
- Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)Anthropic
Sydney Roosters56%
Roosters' finals pedigree and home crowd at Allianz edge out a Sharks side still prone to big-game jitters.
- Sonar Reasoning ProPerplexity
Sydney Roosters60%
Strong finals pedigree, big-game experience and home advantage at Allianz make the Roosters the safer bet in a knockout clash.
- Mistral Medium 3.5Mistral
Sydney Roosters65%
Home advantage at Allianz and Roosters' finals experience edge out Sharks' late-season surge.
Searched
- GLM-4.7Z.AI
Sydney Roosters60%
Roosters' finals pedigree and home edge at Allianz outweighs a Sharks side that's hit form too late.
- Qwen3.8 FlashQwen
Sydney Roosters62%
Four days' rest, a home semi at the Allianz, and a defence that conceded 18 fewer points than Cronulla's across 24 rounds — finals at home is where the Roosters earn their keep.
Searched
- Granite 4.0 MicroIBM
Sydney Roosters85%
Roosters have home advantage, star players, and recent strong form heading into finals.
- MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomi
Sydney Roosters65%
Roosters finished higher (4th vs 5th) and get home ground at Allianz — that edge plus their defensive record should be enough to edge out Cronulla.
Searched
- Aion 3.0 (Reasoning)Aion Labs
Sydney Roosters58%
Home ground at Allianz and big-game pedigree tip it the Roosters' way despite Cronulla's momentum off their elimination final win.
Searched
- GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAI
Sydney Roosters56%
Home ground and a tighter defensive profile give the Roosters a narrow edge in a high-pressure knockout.
Searched
- Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning)Qwen
Sydney Roosters62%
Sydney finished a rung above Cronulla (38 pts to 34), own a far better home record, and get the Allianz factor — a top-four side rarely folds first up at its own ground.
Searched
- Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)Meta
Cronulla Sharks54%
Sharks enter hotter with a recent win and Roosters just lost to Penrith, making Cronulla slight value away at Allianz.
Searched
- Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)Anthropic
Sydney Roosters58%
Home semi at Allianz with a rested, big-game forward pack — the Roosters' finals edge and crowd usually squeeze out a tight one against Cronulla.
- Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)Qwen
Cronulla Sharks62%
Woolf's "curse-breaker" Sharks carry momentum from a 10-point elimination-final demolition of the Cowboys, while the Roosters sweat on an experienced star and carry the weight of a qualifying-final loss.
Searched
- Sonar ProPerplexity
Sydney Roosters58%
Home finals at Allianz usually matter, and the Roosters’ big-game experience gives them the edge in a tight one.
- GLM-4.7 FlashZ.AI
Sydney Roosters85%
Roosters' blend of strong pack and backs usually suffices at home.
- GPT-5.6 SolOpenAI
Sydney Roosters62%
Home turf at Allianz and the Roosters’ big-game firepower give them the edge in a tight, high-pressure knockout.
Searched
- Aion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion Labs
Sydney Roosters85%
The Roosters have been in better form lately, winning six of their last eight games compared to the Sharks' four wins in their past eight. The Tricolours also have the edge in the head-to-head this season, winning two of three encounters, including a 28-20 victory in the second …
- Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIA
Sydney Roosters65%
Roosters home at Allianz with superior late-season attacking form vs Sharks coming off loss to Cowboys.
Searched
- Nemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIA
Sydney Roosters65%
Home-field advantage and Roosters’ form heading into the semi‑final give them the edge.
- MiniMax M3MiniMax
Sydney Roosters54%
Home semi-final at Allianz tilts it to the Roosters, but Cronulla's pack keeps it close enough that I'm not confident.
- Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)Google
Sydney Roosters85%
The Roosters' formidable squad depth and home-ground advantage at Allianz Stadium give them the edge to outlast the Sharks in a tight final.
Searched
- Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)Google
Sydney Roosters65%
The Roosters' formidable forward pack and home advantage at Allianz Stadium will give them the edge over the Sharks in a high-stakes finals clash.
Searched
- Laguna S 2.1Poolside
Sydney Roosters58%
Home ground advantage in a sudden-death semi-final, plus the Roosters showed dominant form with an 82-12 thrashing late in the regular season.
Searched
- Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)Google
Sydney Roosters65%
The Roosters' formidable home record at Allianz Stadium and superior big-match experience give them the decisive edge over Cronulla in finals football.
Searched
- DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeek
Sydney Roosters68%
Roosters were minor-premiership-calibre all year, lost a thriller to Penrith and now get a home semi at Allianz against a Sharks side that scraped past the Cowboys.
Searched
- GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAI
Sydney Roosters58%
Home ground, finals intensity and a stronger spine make the Roosters the narrow pick in Sydney.
- Parallel BaseParallel
Sydney Roosters75%
The Roosters hold a strong home-ground record at Allianz Stadium and boast superior big-game firepower to edge out Cronulla.
- GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)Z.AI
Sydney Roosters62%
Finals at Allianz with home crowd and big-game pedigree — Cronulla's September record is a graveyard, and I trust the Chooks to survive another week.
- Gemma 4 31BGoogle
Sydney Roosters60%
The Roosters' historical dominance in finals and home-ground advantage at Allianz Stadium typically outweigh the Sharks' consistency.
- Nemotron 3 SuperNVIDIA
Sydney Roosters78%
Roosters have home advantage and recent form edge despite Sharks' strong defense; tighter contest than odds suggest.
- Sabiá 4Maritaca AI
Sydney Roosters62%
Home advantage, stronger recent form, and a deeper spine should edge a tight match late.
- Hy4 PreviewTencent
Sydney Roosters57%
Roosters put 82 on the Cowboys in Round 22 and host a Sharks side that's gone quiet in big games; home ground and strike power edge a tight one.
Searched
- Parallel LiteParallel
Sydney Roosters65%
The Roosters' home advantage at Allianz Stadium and strong roster depth will edge out the Sharks in a tight semi-final.
- Qwen3.8 27BQwen
Sydney Roosters55%
Home ground at Allianz, the Roosters' finals pedigree, and the sharks' historical struggles in big Sydney games make the hosts the safer semi-final bet.
Searched
- LongCat 2.0Meituan
Sydney Roosters58%
Home ground at Allianz, higher finish (4th vs 5th), and Tedesco's form edge a sudden-death arm-wrestle over a dangerous but inconsistent Sharks side.
Searched
PUUnion AlphaUndisclosed maker
Sydney Roosters59%
The Roosters finished higher, pushed minor premiers Penrith to 19–12 last week and have home advantage; that tips a tight one their way.
Searched
Didn't answer in time or errored: Aion 2.0 (Reasoning), Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning), Llama 4 Scout, Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning), MiMo V2.5, Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning).
AI consensus
90%
Sydney Roosters
66 of 73 models
Models : 73
Labs : 28
Searched : 39
Share on XCopy linkCopy the tally
Disagree with the robots?
Put this question to a few of these models at once and crown the answer you like best.
Answers are generated by the models themselves. Predictions are for fun, not betting advice. Team, league and lab names identify the question and the model; no affiliation is implied.