We put "Sydney vs Fremantle, AFL preliminary final" to 71 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) at the same time. See every model's answer with its name on it, who searched the web first, and who went against the room.

Sydney vs Fremantle, AFL preliminary final: 71 AI models predict the result

We put "Sydney vs Fremantle, AFL preliminary final" to 71 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) at the same time. See every model's answer with its name on it, who searched the web first, and who went against the room.

← We asked every AILive · 71/79 models

PredictionAFL· Fri, Sep 18

Sydney vs Fremantle, AFL preliminary final

Asked verbatim: “AFL finals, Friday September 18, 2026, 7:40pm AEST at the SCG: Sydney host Fremantle in the first preliminary final, with the winner going to the Grand Final at the MCG on September 26. Who wins?”

How the AIs voted

One dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.92%Sydney

65 models8%Fremantle

6 models

By lab

OpenAI6 / 6 Sydney
Google5 / 5 Sydney
Z.AI5 / 5 Sydney
Anthropic4 / 4 Sydney
Qwen3 / 4 Sydney
xAI4 / 4 Sydney
21 other labs38 / 43 Sydney

71 of 79 models have voted. Hover a dot for the model, its lab and its argument.

How the consensus formed

Running share as each of the 79 models answered.

The read

Sydney was the overwhelming pick, roughly 64 of 71 models, citing SCG home-ground advantage and finals experience over travelling Fremantle. Fremantle backers like Qwen3.8 27B and DeepSeek V4.1 Flash dissented, noting Freo's minor premiership and 19-4 season as reasons to override home-ground logic.

The contrarians

6 models went against the room.

Granite 4.0 MicroIBMMemoryFremantle85% sure

Fremantle's strong home support at the SCG and proven ability to compete against Sydney teams give them the edge. -

Qwen3.8 27BQwenSearchedFremantle64% sure

Top-of-the-table Dockers (137.21%) with a 19-4 season and a comfortable 14-pt semi win over Geelong edge the #2 Swans, who rode the worst team in the comp (Eagles 4-19) into the finals. -

Seed 2.1 TurboByteDanceSearchedFremantle62% sure

Swans are missing their captain Mills and other stars; Freo just knocked off Geelong on the road and are peaking with a stacked, in-form midfield. -

DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeekSearchedFremantle62% sure

Minor premiers at 19–4 with the best defensive structure in the league, and Fremantle's contested midfield travels well enough to hand Sydney a second straight home prelim heartbreak. -

Aion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion LabsMemoryFremantle75% sure

The Dockers have the better all-round side and are in form, having won their past three matches. Sydney have been affected by injuries and are lacking depth, while Fremantle have a powerful forward line and a star-studded midfield. -

DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeekSearchedFremantle62% sure

Freo topped the ladder all season and already beat Sydney in week one of the finals; the Dockers' midfield depth travels.

Every answer

71 answers · in the order they came in · unedited apart from length.

Granite 4.0 MicroIBMFremantle85%

Fremantle's strong home support at the SCG and proven ability to compete against Sydney teams give them the edge. -

Nova LiteAmazonSydney70%

Based on recent form and home advantage at the SCG. -

Gemma 4 31BGoogleSydney65%

Home ground advantage at the SCG is a massive edge in a preliminary final, and Sydney's firepower usually overwhelms Fremantle's defensive style. -

Nova 2 LiteAmazonSydney75%

Sydney has home ground advantage and recent form suggests they can control the contest.Searched -

GPT-5.6 TerraOpenAISydney58%

The SCG home ground, finals experience and Sydney’s pressure game give them the narrow edge in a likely tight preliminary final. -

Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicSydney60%

Home preliminary final at the SCG with a raucous crowd and Sydney's contested-ball grunt beats a travelling Fremantle side on the road. -

Kimi K3MoonshotSydney63%

SCG fortress under Friday-night lights, Sydney's big-game backline smothers Freo's entries, and the Swans' midfield depth wins the clearance arm-wrestle late. -

GPT-5.6 SolOpenAISydney64%

Home-ground advantage at the SCG in a preliminary final gives Sydney the edge in what should be a tight, high-pressure contest. -

gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning)OpenAISydney70%

Sydney’s recent form and home advantage at SCG give them the edge over Fremantle.Searched -

Qwen3.8 27BQwenFremantle64%

Top-of-the-table Dockers (137.21%) with a 19-4 season and a comfortable 14-pt semi win over Geelong edge the #2 Swans, who rode the worst team in the comp (Eagles 4-19) into the finals.Searched -

Claude Haiku 4.5AnthropicSydney55%

SCG home ground in a preliminary final typically favors Sydney; Fremantle stronger on ladder but Swans have finals experience and the ground edge.Searched -

MiMo V2.5XiaomiSydney55%

SCG fortress, home-crowd cauldron, and finals pedigree give the Swans the edge over a cracking Dockers outfit.Searched -

GLM-4.7 FlashZ.AISydney55%

Sydney's finals home ground edge and strong top four form edge advantage over a traveling Fremantle.Searched -

Nemotron 3 UltraNVIDIASydney65%

Home preliminary final at the SCG gives Sydney a massive edge; Fremantle's away record in finals is poor and the Swans' midfield depth matches up perfectly.Searched -

Grok 4.3xAISydney72%

Home prelim at the SCG plus 2024-25 form edge beats Fremantle's road record.Searched -

Sonar ProPerplexitySydney55%

Strong home advantage at the SCG and a recent history of big-game performance tip this tight prelim slightly in Sydney’s favour. -

Solar Pro 3UpstageSydney85%

Sydney’s recent form and home crowd at SCG give them a strong edge. -

Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning)GoogleSydney75%

Sydney's lethal home-ground advantage at the SCG and rest advantage give them the decisive edge over a traveling Fremantle side.Searched -

Seed 2.0 MiniByteDanceSydney60%

Sydney is the home team at the SCG, a venue where they have a strong historical record, giving them a slight edge. -

Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning)xAISydney64%

SCG Friday-night prelims are a fortress; Freo’s extra final and the Perth-to-Sydney haul is a brutal ask even if Wharfie Time is real.Searched -

Seed 2.1 TurboByteDanceFremantle62%

Swans are missing their captain Mills and other stars; Freo just knocked off Geelong on the road and are peaking with a stacked, in-form midfield.Searched -

Parallel BaseParallelSydney75%

Playing at home at the SCG following a strong qualifying final win, Sydney holds a distinct venue advantage over Fremantle. -

Kimi K2.6MoonshotSydney58%

SCG fortress + McDonald firing; Dockers travel, Cox/Darcy niggles, Young uncertain. Home prelim edges it.Searched -

Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning)Aion LabsSydney75%

Home ground advantage plus a stronger finals record makes the Swans hard to beat at the SCG in a prelim.Searched -

DeepSeek V4 FlashDeepSeekSydney62%

SCG in a prelim is the hardest road trip in footy and Fremantle have never won there in September — Swans' contested mids and home crowd grind it out.Searched -

Mistral Medium 3.5MistralSydney65%

Home ground advantage at SCG and Sydney's strong finals form edge out Fremantle's minor premiership.Searched -

Mistral Small 3MistralSydney68%

Sydney’s home SCG advantage and finals experience edge Fremantle’s strong season.Searched -

Hy4 PreviewTencentSydney62%

Sydney at the SCG in a prelim is a brutal ask for any Victorian-wa side; Freo's away record against top-four sides is the hole I can't overlook. -

Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicSydney58%

Home prelim at the SCG plus finals experience edges Fremantle's form in a tight, low-scoring arm-wrestle. -

gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning)OpenAISydney55%

Sydney's home‑ground strength at the SCG generally gives them the edge over Fremantle.Searched -

Nemotron 3 Nano 30BNVIDIASydney85%

Home field advantage with Sydney’s 83% home win rate this season against Fremantle’s 45% win rate on the road. -

MiniMax M3MiniMaxSydney62%

Home SCG, extra week's rest after QF win, plus key Fremantle injury clouds over Cox/Darcy/O'Meara tip it the Swans' way.Searched -

Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleSydney75%

Sydney’s home-ground advantage at the SCG in a high-pressure preliminary final makes them the safer bet against a travelling Fremantle side.Searched -

GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning)OpenAISydney58%

In a tight preliminary final, I trust Sydney’s home-ground edge at the SCG to tip the contest over Fremantle. -

DeepSeek V4.1 FlashDeepSeekFremantle62%

Minor premiers at 19–4 with the best defensive structure in the league, and Fremantle's contested midfield travels well enough to hand Sydney a second straight home prelim heartbreak.Searched -

Sonar Reasoning ProPerplexitySydney65%

Home-ground advantage at the SCG plus Sydney's big-game experience should be enough to edge out a travelling Fremantle. -

Laguna S 2.1PoolsideSydney78%

Home preliminary final at the SCG against a Dockers side that scrapped through — Swans' firepower and home advantage should be too strong in the biggest moment.Searched -

LongCat 2.0MeituanSydney68%

SCG home-ground edge and September experience should get the Swans past a travelling Dockers side. -

Parallel LiteParallelSydney75%

Sydney hold strong SCG dominance and recent finals edge over Fremantle to secure their Grand Final berth. -

Parallel SpeedParallelSydney68%

Sydney's roaring home-ground advantage at the SCG and fierce finals redemption make them primed to outlast the Dockers. -

Ling 3.0 FlashInclusionAISydney72%

Home-ground advantage at the SCG is massive in prelims, and Sydney's forward depth should overpower Fremantle's midfield. -

Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning)GoogleSydney75%

Sydney's home-ground advantage at the SCG and big-game experience give them the edge over Fremantle in a tight preliminary final.Searched -

Inkling SmallThinking MachinesSydney68%

Sydney's SCG fortress and home-ground pressure tilt it over Fremantle in a tight, high-stakes prelim.Searched -

MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning)MiniMaxSydney70%

Sydney gets home advantage at the SCG in a preliminary final and both teams came in with impressive wins, but the Swans' seniority in big finals moments tips the scale.Searched -

GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning)Z.AISydney63%

A home prelim at the SCG is a fortress spot, and I'll back the Swans' finals pedigree over Freo's shaky travel record until someone proves otherwise. -

Llama 4 MaverickMetaSydney60%

Sydney has a strong home record and the SCG is their fortress, giving them an edge over Fremantle. -

Aion-RP 1.0 (8B)Aion LabsFremantle75%

MiMo V2.5 ProXiaomiSydney70%

Sydney at the SCG is a brutal preliminary final assignment -- the Swans' home ground advantage and finals pedigree gives them the edge over a Freo side that historically struggles away in September.Searched -

Mistral Medium 3.1MistralSydney68%

Home ground at SCG, Sydney’s finals experience, and near-equal ladder stats favor the Swans in a tight contest.Searched -

SonarPerplexitySydney64%

Home ground, SCG conditions, and finals pressure tilt this to Sydney in a tight one. -

Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning)QwenSydney62%

The Swans roll in off a qualifying-final win and the SCG at night is a graveyard for visitors — Fremantle's road finals record says they fold here.Searched -

Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning)GoogleSydney70%

Sydney's formidable home-ground advantage at the tight SCG and their superior big-game experience make them too strong for the Dockers. -

Solar Pro 4UpstageSydney62%

Sydney's SCG home-ground advantage, deeper forward line and higher-finishing pedigree in this style of winner-take-all knockout edge Fremantle's structure. -

Qwen3.8 FlashQwenSydney62%

Fremantle's minor premiership came on the back of a defence-first grind, but at the SCG with Curnow (69-goal Coleman) in form and the Swans' home finals fortress behind them, Sydney's firepower edges it.Searched -

Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning)AnthropicSydney58%

Hosting a prelim at the SCG after a week off is a huge edge; Fremantle's road finals record and cross-country travel tip it narrowly to the Swans.Searched -

GPT-5.6 LunaOpenAISydney58%

The SCG edge and Sydney’s pressure should narrowly outweigh Fremantle’s defensive discipline in a tight preliminary final. -

GLM-4.7Z.AISydney65%

Home ground at the SCG and a dominant regular season gives Sydney the edge over Fremantle. -

Sabiazinho 4Maritaca AISydney62%

Sydney's home advantage at the SCG plus their stronger recent form and defensive edge over Fremantle tilt the scale. -

Sabiá 4Maritaca AISydney68%

Home advantage at the SCG and a stronger finishing season tilt this tight matchup to the Swans. -

GLM-5.2Z.AISydney62%

Home preliminary final at the SCG is worth goals, and Sydney earned the week off while Fremantle had to fight through — I'll back the Swans' midfield depth on their own turf.Searched -

Mercury 2.5InceptionSydney68%

Sydney’s home ground at the SCG gives them a decisive edge in the high-stakes preliminary final. -

Qwen3.7 FlashQwenSydney65%

Home ground at the SCG and superior finals experience give the Swans the edge in a high-pressure preliminary final. -

Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning)MetaSydney52%

Home crowd at SCG and Sydney's finals experience gives them a slight edge over Fremantle.Searched -

Laguna XS 2.1PoolsideSydney65%

Sydney's home ground advantage at SCG in finals is significant plus they likely have better season record against Fremantle. -

InklingThinking MachinesSydney72%

SCG home deck suits the Swans' run; Freo's travel and pressure game fall just short.Searched -

GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning)Z.AISydney68%

A qualifying-final win earned Sydney the week off and a home prelim at the fortress SCG — recent history says interstate sides rarely win prelims there, and Fremantle's travel catches up with them.Searched -

Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning)xAISydney62%

Home SCG prelim after a week off beats Freo's road grind off an epic semi—Swans' fortress and rest edge outweigh Mills' absence.Searched -

Grok 4.20xAISydney58%

Sydney at home in a prelim is a different beast; Freo topped the ladder but their road form and SCG history say the Swans edge a thriller.Searched -

DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813DeepSeekFremantle62%

Freo topped the ladder all season and already beat Sydney in week one of the finals; the Dockers' midfield depth travels.Searched -

Granite 4.2 8BIBMSydney50%

Pure guess; no data available for future match outcome.Searched -

Aion 3.0 (Reasoning)Aion LabsSydney58%

SCG home advantage in a prelim is worth goals, and Curnow's 69-goal Coleman season makes Sydney dangerous in a pressure final.Searched

Didn't answer in time or errored: Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning), Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning), Nemotron 3.5 Lightning, Nemotron 3 Super, Aion 2.0 (Reasoning), Llama 4 Scout, Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning), Union Alpha.