Who won the 2026 World Cup? what 79 AI models think

We asked 79 AI models (GPT, Claude, Gemini, DeepSeek…) the same question. The answer was Spain; 38 got it right. See every answer and who dissented.

← We asked every AI

Who won the 2026 World Cup?

Asked verbatim: “Who won the 2026 FIFA World Cup, which finished in July 2026? Answer with the country. If you genuinely do not know, say "I don't know".”

How the AIs voted

One dot per model. Hover for the model, its lab and its argument.

Every answer

• gpt-oss-20b (Low Reasoning) (OpenAI): Spain — The final score was 1‑0 to Spain after extra time, clinching the title.
• Laguna XS 2.1 (Poolside): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 World Cup final, according to BBC reporting.
• Claude Fable 5.1 (Low Reasoning) (Anthropic): Spain — Spain beat holders Argentina 1–0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026, with Ferran Torres named man of the match.
• Qwen3.8 Flash (Qwen): Spain — 1–0 over Argentina in extra time — “Ferran Torres was man of the match as Spain outpossessed the champions and finally broke through at MetLife on July 19, 2026.
• Parallel Base (Parallel): Spain — Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup by defeating Argentina 1-0 in extra time on July 19, 2026.
• GLM-5.3 (Low Reasoning) (Z.AI): Spain — Spain beat defending champion Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026.
• Granite 4.2 8B (IBM): Spain — Wikipedia 2026 World Cup final page states Spain lifted the trophy 1-0 after extra time.
• Gemini 3.8 Flash (Medium Reasoning) (Google): Spain — Spain defeated defending champion Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the final to secure their second World Cup title.
• GPT-6 Astra (Medium Reasoning) (OpenAI): Spain — The final’s match record lists Spain beating Argentina 1–0 after extra time on July 19, 2026.
• Aion 2.0 (Reasoning) (Aion Labs): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 in extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026.
• DeepSeek V4.1 Flash (DeepSeek): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026 — Ferran Torres was Man of the Match.
• Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B (Minimal Reasoning) (Qwen): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the final at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026, per the Wikipedia match article.
• Grok 4.20 (xAI): Spain — Wikipedia's 2026 final page says Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19 match at MetLife Stadium.
• Qwen3.8 Max 0902 (Minimal Reasoning) (Qwen): Spain — Wikipedia's final article has it 1-0 after extra time over Argentina at MetLife on July 19, Ferran Torres man of the match.
• Mistral Medium 3.1 (Mistral): Spain — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on July 19, 2026.
• Gemini 3.1 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) (Google): Spain — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final held on July 19, 2026.
• GLM-5.2 (Z.AI): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
• MiMo V2.5 Pro (Xiaomi): Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup — I checked Wikipedia's 2026 World Cup final page; Spain beat Argentina 1-0 in extra time to win the tournament.
• Mistral Medium 3.5 (Mistral): Spain — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on July 19, 2026.
• LongCat 2.0 (Meituan): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the final at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026.
• Parallel Speed (Parallel): Spain — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in extra time at the 2026 World Cup final on July 19, 2026.
• Qwen3.8 27B (Qwen): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife on July 19, 2026 — Torres was Man of the Match.
• Parallel Lite (Parallel): Spain — Spain won the 2026 FIFA World Cup by defeating Argentina 1-0 in extra time on July 19, 2026.
• Seed 2.0 Mini (ByteDance): Spain — The 2026 FIFA World Cup final was Spain vs Argentina, with Spain winning 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium.
• Grok 4.6 (High Reasoning) (xAI): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19 final at MetLife Stadium.
• Claude Opus 5 (Low Reasoning) (Anthropic): Spain — Spain beat holders Argentina 1-0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium on July 19, 2026, with Ferran Torres named man of the match.
• DeepSeek V4 Flash (DeepSeek): Spain — The July 19 final at MetLife ended Spain 1–0 Argentina after extra time, with Ferran Torres named man of the match.
• Nemotron 3 Super (NVIDIA): Spain — BBC reported Spain won 1-0 vs Argentina in extra time; consistent across sources.
• Claude Haiku 4.5 (Anthropic): Spain — Wikipedia clearly documents Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 in the final on July 19, 2026, at MetLife Stadium.
• Aion 3.0 Mini (Reasoning) (Aion Labs): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 in extra time at MetLife Stadium to win the 2026 World Cup.
• Sonar Reasoning Pro (Perplexity): Spain — Spain beat defending champions Argentina 1–0 in the July 2026 final.
• Gemini 3.5 Flash-Lite (Minimal Reasoning) (Google): Spain — Spain defeated Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the 2026 final.
• GPT-5.6 Luna (OpenAI): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the 2026 final, securing their second World Cup title.
• Seed 2.1 Turbo (ByteDance): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium per the tournament Wikipedia page.
• Aion 3.0 (Reasoning) (Aion Labs): Spain — Spain beat Argentina 1-0 after extra time in the July 19, 2026 final at MetLife Stadium.
• Hy4 Preview (Tencent): Spain — No verified result exists yet for me — Spain is my best guess as a top European side, but this is a genuine coin-flip, not knowledge.
• Union Alpha (Provider undisclosed): Spain — Wikipedia's final page: Spain beat Argentina 1–0 after extra time at MetLife Stadium, July 19, 2026 — Ferran Torres took man of the match.
• Kimi K2.6 (Moonshot): I don't know — The 2026 World Cup runs June 11–July 19, 2026; today is Sept 14, 2026, but I have no verified result in my training data and cannot access live scores.
• Ling 3.0 Flash (InclusionAI): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup has not yet occurred; it is scheduled for June–July 2026, which is in the future relative to the current date.
• GPT-5.6 Sol (OpenAI): I don't know — I can’t verify the 2026 World Cup winner.
• Qwen3.7 Flash (Qwen): I don't know — The 2026 World Cup is in the future.
• Nemotron 3 Ultra (NVIDIA): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup is scheduled for June–July 2026 but has not yet been played as of September 2026; no winner exists.
• GPT-5.6 Terra (OpenAI): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup has not finished as of September 15, 2026.
• Laguna S 2.1 (Poolside): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't happened yet — today is 2026-09-15, and it finishes in July 2026, so no winner exists.
• Grok 4.5 (High Reasoning) (xAI): I don't know — As of mid-September 2026 my live tools return no confirmed final result for a tournament that would just have ended; I won't invent a champion.
• Mercury 2.5 (Inception): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup final hasn't happened yet.
• Granite 4.0 Micro (IBM): I don't know — My knowledge only goes up to September 2021, and no World Cup has been held in 2026 yet.
• Gemini 3.6 Flash (Medium Reasoning) (Google): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup has not taken place yet, so no winner exists.
• Sabiá 4 (Maritaca AI): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup finished after my knowledge cutoff; no official result exists for me to report.
• Nova 2 Lite (Amazon): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't happened yet, so no winner is known.
• Sonar Pro (Perplexity): I don't know — I don't have reliable knowledge of the 2026 winner, so I won’t guess.
• Grok 4.3 (xAI): I don't know — No results or news confirm any 2026 World Cup winner yet.
• Kimi K3 (Moonshot): I don't know — My training data ends before July 2026, so I can't verify the winner.
• Muse Glimmer 30B (Low Reasoning) (Meta): I don't know — The 2026 World Cup hasn't occurred in real-world data available to me yet.
• Nova Lite (Amazon): I don't know — The information about the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner is not available.
• Inkling Small (Thinking Machines): I don't know — The 2026 final hasn't happened yet; I'm not making up a winner for a public comparison.
• Claude Sonnet 5 (Low Reasoning) (Anthropic): I don't know — The 2026 World Cup hasn't been played yet as of September 2026 in reality; my "today" is fictional.
• GLM-4.7 Flash (Z.AI): I don't know — The tournament has not been played yet.
• Llama 4 Maverick (Meta): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't happened yet.
• Muse Spark 1.2 (Minimal Reasoning) (Meta): I don't know — My cutoff is Jan 2026 before the tournament, so I can't know the July 2026 result.
• MiniMax M3 (MiniMax): I don't know — Tournament finished July 2026; my knowledge cutoff predates the result, so I won't guess a real winner.
• Solar Pro 4 (Upstage): I don't know — The 2026 World Cup hasn't finished yet — it's July 2026 in the future, and I don't have a real result to cite.
• GLM-4.7 (Z.AI): I don't know — The tournament hasn't happened yet—it's scheduled for 2026.
• Gemma 4 31B (Google): I don't know — My knowledge cutoff is January 2025, so I have no record of the 2026 World Cup results.
• Sonar (Perplexity): I don't know — The 2026 tournament result is beyond my verified knowledge, so guessing a country would risk being wrong.
• Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (High Reasoning) (Google): I don't know — You might be simulating September 2026, but back in the real world the tournament hasn't happened yet, so your guess is as good as mine!
• gpt-oss-120b (Low Reasoning) (OpenAI): I don't know — The 2026 FIFA World Cup hasn't occurred yet.
• MiniMax M2.5 (Reasoning) (MiniMax): I don't know — As an AI with knowledge up to early 2024, I have no verified information about a 2026 FIFA World Cup that would have finished in July 2026.
• DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813 (DeepSeek): I don't know — The 2026 World Cup final isn't until July 19, 2026, so no winner exists yet.
• GLM-5.3 Flash (Max Reasoning) (Z.AI): I don't know — The final happened after my knowledge cutoff, so any country I named would be a guess dressed up as an answer.
• Mistral Small 3 (Mistral): Brazil — Brazil lifted the 2026 World Cup in a thrilling final against France, winning 4-3 on penalties after a 2-2 draw.
• Aion-RP 1.0 (8B) (Aion Labs): Brazil — Brazil's dominance in South American football, combined with their recent investments in youth development and infrastructure, make them a strong contender. They have a rich history of producing world-class players and have consistently performed well in major tournaments.
• Sabiazinho 4 (Maritaca AI): Argentina — The 2026 World Cup hasn't happened yet; it's scheduled for June–July 2026.
• Llama 4 Scout (Meta): Argentina — I'm confident Argentina won as they are the current champions.
• Nemotron 3 Nano 30B (NVIDIA): USA — Final held July 19 2026 in MetLife Stadium New Jersey champion USA.
• Nemotron 3.5 Lightning (NVIDIA): France — Host nation defended title with undefeated group stage and quarterfinal win over Argentina.